BRAZIL SERIE C
04.07.2026 22:00
Referee: A. Monteiro
Maringá
Match Timeline
Volta Redonda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Caique Calito
Maringá
36'
Lucas Rocha
Maringá
🟨
41'
Kelvi Gomes
Maringá
42'
Caique Calito
Maringá
🔄
46'
Kelvi Gomes ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
46'
Juninho Ramos ↔ Luciano Naninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Romarinho ↔ Fellipinho
Volta Redonda
🔄
54'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🔄
64'
Bruno Cheron ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
64'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
71'
↔ Wellington Silva
Volta Redonda
🔄
71'
Marquinhos ↔ Rafael Furtado
Volta Redonda
76'
Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
80'
Wendel Lomar ↔ Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
80'
Pedro Costa ↔ Caetano
Volta Redonda
🟨
90+2'
Maringá
Maringá

Maringá vs Volta Redonda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 78.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
78.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 51.3%
Draw 26.9%
Volta Redonda Win 21.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.47
Volta Redonda1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
22 GF / 24 GA
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
10
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 12 matches
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 12 matches
Maringá Statistic Volta Redonda
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
22 Goals For 10
24 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
10 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 3
8 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volta Redonda having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Volta Redonda. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Maringá Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Maringá have collected 15 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volta Redonda Analysis

With 14 points from 11 games and a place of 14, Volta Redonda still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 7:11 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 1 times, Volta Redonda won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Maringá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.2%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 1, draws 0, Volta Redonda wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation