BRAZIL › SERIE C
20.04.2026 23:00
Referee: W. Echevarria
Maringá
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Davi Gabriel
Brusque
🟨
20'
Petterson Novaes
Brusque
⚽
26'
Adrianinho
Brusque
⚽
34'
Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🟨
44'
Kelvi Gomes
Maringá
🔄
46'
Giovane Gomez ↔ Danielzinho
Maringá
🔄
46'
Jeferson ↔ Pedro Medeiros
Brusque
🟨
51'
Danielzinho
Maringá
⚽
52'
Adrianinho
Brusque
🔄
55'
Cipriano ↔ Ryan Santos
Brusque
🔄
57'
Felipe Cardoso ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
61'
Matheus Nogueira
Brusque
🔄
64'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
64'
Adrianinho ↔ Guga
Brusque
🟨
74'
Paulinho
Maringá
🔄
77'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
79'
Gazao ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque
⚽
81'
Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🔄
87'
Caique Calito ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
87'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Caua Tavares
Maringá

Maringá vs Brusque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 58.3%
Draw 25%
Brusque Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá2.2
Brusque1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 2 matches
Brusque Brusque 2 matches
Maringá Statistic Brusque
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
6 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 2
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brusque.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá sit - with - points after - matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Edison Negueba (2 goals), Caique Calito (1 goals), Felipe (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Brusque Analysis

With - points from - games and a place of -, Brusque still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on Alvaro (1 goals), Cipriano (1 goals), Heber (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 0 times, Brusque won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Maringá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.3%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 0, draws 0, Brusque wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D L L L W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D W L W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D L W L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L D L L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W W W D
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation