BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: W. Echevarria
Maringá
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Davi Gabriel
Brusque
🟨
20'
Petterson Novaes
Brusque
26'
Adrianinho
Brusque
34'
Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🟨
44'
Kelvi Gomes
Maringá
🔄
46'
Giovane Gomez ↔ Danielzinho
Maringá
🔄
46'
Jeferson ↔ Pedro Medeiros
Brusque
🟨
51'
Danielzinho
Maringá
52'
Adrianinho
Brusque
🔄
55'
Cipriano ↔ Ryan Santos
Brusque
🔄
57'
Felipe Cardoso ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
61'
Matheus Nogueira
Brusque
🔄
64'
Petterson Novaes ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
64'
Adrianinho ↔ Guga
Brusque
🟨
74'
Paulinho
Maringá
🔄
77'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
79'
Gazao ↔ Jonatan Lucca
Brusque
81'
Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🔄
87'
Caique Calito ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
87'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Caua Tavares
Maringá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 58.3%
Draw 25%
Brusque Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá2.2
Brusque1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 2 matches
Brusque Brusque 2 matches
Maringá Statistic Brusque
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
6 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 2
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brusque.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá sit - with - points after - matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Edison Negueba (2 goals), Caique Calito (1 goals), Felipe (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Brusque Analysis

With - points from - games and a place of -, Brusque still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on Alvaro (1 goals), Cipriano (1 goals), Heber (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maringá won 0 times, Brusque won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Maringá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.3%)
H2H summary: Maringá wins 0, draws 0, Brusque wins 2

Lineups

Maringá
Formation
Brusque
Tony
Tony
Jhow Alecxander
Jhow Alecxander
Gabriel Santos
Gabriel Santos
Felipe Cardoso
Felipe Cardoso
Kelvi Gomes
Kelvi Gomes
Paulinho
Paulinho
Ronald Camarao
Ronald Camarao
Guilherme Pira
⚽ 2
Guilherme Pira
Edison Negueba
Edison Negueba
Giovane Gomez
Giovane Gomez
Caique Calito
Caique Calito
Matheus Nogueira
Matheus Nogueira
Jeferson
Jeferson
Alisson Cassiano
Alisson Cassiano
Cipriano
Cipriano
Bernardo
Bernardo
Davi Gabriel
Davi Gabriel
Gazao
Gazao
Petterson Novaes
Petterson Novaes
Rafael Milhorim
Rafael Milhorim
Adrianinho
⚽ 2
Adrianinho
Macario
Macario
Maringá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Tony
18
Jhow Alecxander
↓ 87'
3
Gabriel Santos
14
Felipe Cardoso
↓ 57'
5
Kelvi Gomes
🟨 44'
23
Paulinho
🟨 74'
21
Ronald Camarao
↓ 77'
10
Guilherme Pira
⚽ 34' ⚽ 81'
7
Edison Negueba
9
Giovane Gomez
↓ 46'
99
Caique Calito
↓ 87'
Substitutes
2
Gabriel Souza
11
Danielzinho
↑ 46' 🟨 51'
15
N. Neira
17
Iago Santana
20
Bruno Cheron
↑ 77'
25
Neto
26
Wallace
28
Lucas Bonifacio
↑ 87'
32
Caua Tavares
↑ 87'
47
Rian Patric
77
Rafinha
↑ 57'
35
Pedro Augusto
Brusque 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Nogueira
🟨 61'
2
Jeferson
↓ 46'
3
Alisson Cassiano
4
Cipriano
↓ 55'
5
Bernardo
6
Davi Gabriel
⚽ 7'
7
Gazao
↓ 79'
11
Petterson Novaes
↓ 64' 🟨 20'
13
Rafael Milhorim
17
Adrianinho
⚽ 26' ⚽ 52' ↓ 64'
19
Macario
Substitutes
12
Jose Vinicius
8
Jonatan Lucca
↑ 79'
9
Alvaro
10
Joao Pedro
14
Ryan Santos
↑ 55'
15
Alex Paulino
16
Raimar
18
Clinton
↑ 64'
20
Leonardo
21
Guga
↑ 64'
22
Pedro Medeiros
↑ 46'
Last matches: Maringá
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
Last matches: Brusque
13.07.26
Ser
Brusque
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Brusque
Figueirense
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H: Maringá vs Brusque
20.04.26
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
14.07.25
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
0
2
L
Last matches: Maringá
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H at home: Maringá
20.04.26
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
14.07.25
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
0
2
L
Last matches: Brusque
13.07.26
Ser
Brusque
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
30.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
H2H away: Brusque
20.04.26
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
W
14.07.25
H2H
Maringá
Brusque
0
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation