BRAZIL SERIE C
19.09.2026 20:00

Maringá vs Botafogo PB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.8%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maringá Win 35.4%
Draw 16.8%
Botafogo PB Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maringá1.34
Botafogo PB1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maringá Maringá
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
31 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maringá Maringá 21 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 22 matches
Maringá Statistic Botafogo PB
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 3
6 Losses 8
33 Goals For 31
31 Goals Against 22
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo PB. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control.

Maringá Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 19 games, Maringá bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 32:30 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 33 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 28:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
W D D W L
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
D W L W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D L W
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation