Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
20 matches
AC Oulu
18 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 13 | Goals For | 24 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.38 | Shots On Goal | 2.07 |
| 3.63 | Total Shots | 5.6 |
| 2.13 | Corners | 2 |
| 24.9% | Ball Possession | 21.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AC Oulu's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mariehamn have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and AC Oulu in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Oulu having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Mariehamn sit 12 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 4 points from 15 games and a place of 12, Mariehamn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 8:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
AC Oulu come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 26 points from 15 matches. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn won 6 times, AC Oulu won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Mariehamn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Mariehamn
6
7
7
8
5
2
Lineups
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sleipner
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 33:16 | 17 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
AC Oulu
Away
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 30 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 27 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29:31 | -2 | 22 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9:39 | -30 | 5 |
L
D
L
L
L
|