BRAZIL SERIE C
12.07.2026 19:00
Referee: E. R. de Almeida Andrade
Maranhão
Match Timeline
Ypiranga-RS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Keven
Maranhão
45'
Andre Radija
Maranhão
🔄
46'
Leo Rafael ↔ Walce
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
46'
Renan Gorne ↔ Alex Goncalves
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
50'
Ramon Vinicius
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Dionisio ↔ Lucas Ramos
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Mago ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
66'
Erverson ↔ Felipe Cruz
Maranhão
🔄
69'
Jorge Rocha ↔ C. Peu
Maranhão
🔄
71'
Nicolas ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
77'
Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
81'
Gabriel Werner
Ypiranga-RS
83'
Andre Radija
Maranhão
🟨
86'
Cleiton
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
87'
Will ↔ Edson Fernando
Maranhão
🔄
87'
Pimentinha ↔ Richarles
Maranhão
🟨
90+6'
Leo Gobo
Ypiranga-RS

Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.1%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maranhão Win 52.1%
Draw 20.7%
Ypiranga-RS Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maranhão0.9
Ypiranga-RS1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maranhão Maranhão
WWDLW
9 GF / 13 GA
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maranhão Maranhão 13 matches
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 14 matches
Maranhão Statistic Ypiranga-RS
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
9 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 17
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ypiranga-RS. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ypiranga-RS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Maranhão Analysis

Maranhão approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 14 points from 13 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Ypiranga-RS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Maranhão won 1 times, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Maranhão's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.3%)
H2H summary: Maranhão wins 1, draws 0, Ypiranga-RS wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D L L L W
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation