BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Maracanã
Match Timeline
IAPE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Mateusao
Maracanã
51'
Mateusao
Maracanã

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
80.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Maracanã Win 69.9%
Draw 15%
IAPE Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Maracanã1.47
IAPE0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Maracanã Maracanã
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
IAPE IAPE
WLDWL
10 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Maracanã Maracanã 9 matches
IAPE IAPE 9 matches
Maracanã Statistic IAPE
4 Wins 0
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 5
10 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 18
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maracanã's more proactive style and IAPE's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. IAPE arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IAPE having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Maracanã arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 16 points compared to IAPE in 6 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IAPE. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Maracanã Analysis

Maracanã arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vinicius Caninde (3 goals), Alison (2 goals), Luis Soares (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

IAPE Analysis

IAPE approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 10:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Richarles (3 goals), Gustavo Cutrim (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Maracanã won 1 times, IAPE won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Maracanã's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85%)
H2H summary: Maracanã wins 1, draws 1, IAPE wins 0
Last matches: Maracanã
27.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
IAPE
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
Last matches: IAPE
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H: Maracanã vs IAPE
07.06.26
H2H
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
Last matches: Maracanã
27.06.26
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Maracanã
Moto Club
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Maracanã
Altos
1
3
L
29.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Parnahyba
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Maracanã
Imperatriz
2
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
04.05.25
Ser
Maracanã
Iguatu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Maracanã
Maranhão
0
0
D
H2H at home: Maracanã
07.06.26
H2H
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
W
Last matches: IAPE
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
H2H away: IAPE
07.06.26
H2H
Maracanã
IAPE
2
0
L