ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: L. Quinonez
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Libertad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
33'
I. Zambrano · Assist: M. Lucas
Libertad
🔄
46'
J. Alman ↔ M. Ortiz
Manta FC
🔄
46'
B. Ramirez ↔ M. Valencia
Manta FC
🔄
46'
G. Mina ↔ J. Chala
Manta FC
🔄
60'
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza ↔ B. Caicedo
Libertad
🔄
60'
G. J. Cortez Casierra ↔ V. Branda
Libertad
66'
J. Blanco
Manta FC
🔄
67'
A. Garcia ↔ R. Zambrano
Libertad
🔄
67'
E. Patta ↔ S. Castro
Libertad
🔄
71'
E. Caicedo ↔ A. Chere
Libertad
🟨
75'
Bryan Caicedo
Libertad
83'
J. Blanco
Manta FC
🔄
85'
I. Cuero ↔ A. Medina
Manta FC
🟨
86'
Cristhian Valencia
Libertad
🟨
90+4'
Hancel Batalla
Libertad
🟨
90+3'
Carlos Gruezo
Libertad
🔄
90+1'
J. Jimenez ↔ J. Rialpe
Manta FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.3%
1.36
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
1.55
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
1.14
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 29.6%
Draw 24.7%
Libertad Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.73
Libertad1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
5 GF / 18 GA
Libertad Libertad
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
8
2
Over 2.5
7
2.53
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 15 matches
Libertad Libertad 15 matches
Manta FC Statistic Libertad
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
10 Losses 6
5 Goals For 15
18 Goals Against 20
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 10
2 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
10 Failed To Score 6
2.53 Shots On Goal 3.47
9.07 Total Shots 10.33
4.73 Corners 3.67
45.5% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Libertad in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Libertad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Manta FC Analysis

With 9 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 4:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), Jose Enrique Angulo (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Libertad Analysis

Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Branda (4 goals), A. Chere (3 goals), G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), V. Branda (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 1 times, Libertad won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Manta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Libertad 5-3-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 1, draws 4, Libertad wins 3
Stats
Manta FC Manta FC
Libertad Libertad
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 4
17 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
410 Total passes 209
354 Passes accurate 143
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Manta FC
Formation
Libertad
W. Chavez
W. Chavez
I. Cuero
I. Cuero
D. Quintero
D. Quintero
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
G. Mina
G. Mina
J. Alman
J. Alman
J. Nazareno
J. Nazareno
B. Ramirez
B. Ramirez
J. Jimenez
J. Jimenez
J. Blanco
⚽ 2
J. Blanco
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
D. Cabezas
D. Cabezas
E. Patta
E. Patta
M. Lucas
🎯
M. Lucas
C. Gruezo
C. Gruezo
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
H. Batalla
H. Batalla
C. Valencia
C. Valencia
I. Zambrano
I. Zambrano
G. J. Cortez Casierra
G. J. Cortez Casierra
E. Caicedo
E. Caicedo
Manta FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
W. Chavez
G
45
I. Cuero
↓ 85'
D
16
D. Quintero
D
4
J. Nazareno
D
31
G. Mina
↓ 46'
D
19
J. Alman
↓ 46'
M
70
J. Nazareno
M
5
B. Ramirez
↓ 46'
M
6
J. Jimenez
↓ 90+1'
M
9
J. Blanco
⚽ 66' ⚽ 83'
F
17
J. Angulo
F
Substitutes
12
F. Zambrano
G
99
E. Pico
21
M. Ortiz
↑ 46'
M
8
M. Valencia
↑ 46'
F
20
J. Chala
↑ 46'
M
23
A. Medina
↑ 85'
27
J. Troya
52
J. Rialpe
↑ 90+1'
M
10
S. Burbano
M
Libertad 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
D. Cabezas
G
17
E. Patta
↓ 67'
D
25
M. Lucas
🎯 33'
D
5
C. Gruezo
🟨 90+3'
D
36
A. Garcia
↓ 67'
D
20
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
↓ 60'
D
11
H. Batalla
🟨 90+4'
M
63
C. Valencia
🟨 86'
M
7
I. Zambrano
⚽ 33'
M
10
G. J. Cortez Casierra
↓ 60'
F
9
E. Caicedo
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
52
A. Bao
29
R. Zambrano
↑ 67'
D
8
S. Castro
↑ 67'
M
33
A. Chere
↑ 71'
F
30
J. Bravo
M
6
B. Caicedo
↑ 60' 🟨 75'
D
23
J. Guisamano
M
19
B. Corozo
M
49
D. Coronel
F
70
V. Branda
↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Manta FC
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
Last matches: Libertad
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Aucas
3
2
W
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Libertad
LDU de Quito
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
W
H2H: Manta FC vs Libertad
30.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
24.02.26
H2H
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
L
22.07.25
H2H
Libertad
Manta FC
1
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
1
1
D
14.10.22
H2H
Libertad
Manta FC
0
0
D
31.08.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
2
D
03.06.22
H2H
Libertad
Manta FC
0
0
D
08.04.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
0
3
L
Last matches: Manta FC
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
30.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
30.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
2
D
08.04.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
0
3
L
Last matches: Libertad
23.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
3
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Libertad
Emelec
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Macara
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
H2H away: Libertad
30.05.26
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
L
30.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
2
2
D
08.04.22
H2H
Manta FC
Libertad
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.74
Draw 3.15
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.72
Draw 2.14
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.45
Over 1.75 1.57
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.12
Over 2.5 2.44
Over 3.5 4.64
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 1.75 2.40
Under 2.0 2.04
Under 2.25 1.72
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.20
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.00
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.25
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.40
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.63
Draw 3.08
Home 2.13
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 1.87
Home 2.81
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 2.21
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.80
Over 2.25 2.04
Over 2.5 2.37
Over 2.75 2.77
Over 3.0 4.20
Over 3.25 4.02
Over 3.5 5.86
Over 3.75 5.75
Over 4.0 22.00
Over 4.25 7.90
Over 4.5 12.70
Over 5.5 30.00
Over 6.5 36.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 0.75 6.64
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 3.40
Under 1.5 2.78
Under 1.75 2.33
Under 2.0 2.02
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 2.75 1.36
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.17
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.25 1.02
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.15
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.08
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.35
Home 2.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.0 1.63
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 2.75 2.55
Over 3.0 3.30
Over 3.25 3.65
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 3.75 5.00
Over 4.0 7.00
Over 4.25 7.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.0 2.08
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.43
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.03

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 15 7 5 3 18:12 6 26
W W L D D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
W W D D L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
11 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
12 15 5 2 8 16:16 0 17
W L W L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D