Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.3%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.8%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Manta FC
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manta FC
15 matches
Libertad
15 matches
| Manta FC | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 6 |
| 5 | Goals For | 15 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.53 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 9.07 | Total Shots | 10.33 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 3.67 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 47.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Libertad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Libertad in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Libertad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
With 9 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 4:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Jimenez (1 goals), Jean Carlos Blanco (1 goals), Jose Enrique Angulo (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Branda (4 goals), A. Chere (3 goals), G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), V. Branda (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 1 times, Libertad won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Manta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Manta FC
8
3
9
2
4
4
Lineups
Manta FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Emelec
Manta FC
Macara
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Libertad
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Manta FC
Emelec
Manta FC
Macara
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 26 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 26 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 22 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Libertad
Away
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Manta FC
Home
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
W
L
D
L
D
|