ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Jocay

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 58.2%
Draw 14.8%
Delfin SC Win 27%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.6
Delfin SC0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
7 GF / 23 GA
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WLDWL
10 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.41
Average Goals Scored
0.56
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2.76
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 17 matches
Delfin SC Delfin SC 18 matches
Manta FC Statistic Delfin SC
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
11 Losses 8
7 Goals For 10
23 Goals Against 16
0.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
4 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 9
2.76 Shots On Goal 2.94
9.47 Total Shots 10
4.71 Corners 2.76
46.6% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Delfin SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Delfin SC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 7:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Blanco (2 goals), Octavio Moscarelli (1 goals), J. Jiménez (1 goals), with creative support from Braian Ramírez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 9:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 1 times, Delfin SC won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Manta FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Delfin SC 5-3-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 1, draws 3, Delfin SC wins 5
Last matches: Manta FC
04.07.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
4
L
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Aucas
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Leones del Norte
0
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Orense SC
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.02.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
0
1
L
Last matches: Delfin SC
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Delfin SC
LDU Portoviejo
1
0
W
H2H: Manta FC vs Delfin SC
14.03.26
H2H
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
W
28.06.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Manta FC
2
0
L
04.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
2
2
D
05.10.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Manta FC
2
1
L
20.04.21
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
2
L
25.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
22.08.15
H2H
Delfin SC
Manta FC
1
0
L
11.06.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
02.04.15
H2H
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Manta FC
30.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Libertad
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Emelec
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Manta FC
Macara
0
1
L
27.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
0
2
L
18.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lig
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
H2H at home: Manta FC
04.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
2
2
D
20.04.21
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
2
L
25.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
11.06.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Delfin SC
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
H2H away: Delfin SC
04.03.25
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
2
2
D
20.04.21
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
1
2
W
25.10.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
1
W
11.06.15
H2H
Manta FC
Delfin SC
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs