ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE

30.08.2026 14:00

Mansfield Town

5 - 2

Luton

Field Mill

Referee: Richard Eley

Mansfield Town

Match Timeline

Luton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🟨

⚽

🟨

⚽

🟨

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

🔄

🟨

⚽

🔄

🟨

⚽

Mansfield Town vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 64%

Odds 2.43

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds 1.53

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds 1.58

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	64%	2.43	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	1.53	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	1.58	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.29	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	6.00	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	9.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Mansfield Town Win 32.4%

Draw 3.6%

Luton Win 64%

Expected Goals (xG)

Mansfield Town1.85

Luton2.3

Recent Form (Last 5)

Mansfield Town

WWDLW

11 GF / 10 GA

Luton

WLDWL

15 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

2.2

Average Goals Scored

2.5

Average Goals Conceded

1.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mansfield Town 5 matches

Luton 6 matches

Mansfield Town	Statistic	Luton
2	Wins	3
0	Draws	2
3	Losses	1
11	Goals For	15
10	Goals Against	8
2.2	Avg Goals Scored	2.5
2	Avg Goals Conceded	1.33
4	BTTS Yes	3
5	Over 1.5	5
5	Over 2.5	4
3	Over 3.5	4
1	Clean Sheets	2
0	Failed To Score	1
4	Shots On Goal	4.5
14	Total Shots	13
5	Corners	5
44.5%	Ball Possession	58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield Town won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Mansfield Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)

Predicted formations: Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2 / Luton 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: Mansfield Town wins 4, draws 7, Luton wins 4

Standings

League One

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Sheffield Wednesday	6	4	1	1	13:6	7	13	D W W W L
2	Huddersfield	6	3	3	0	10:4	6	12	D D W W D
3	Bradford	6	4	0	2	6:4	2	12	W W L L W
4	Cambridge United	6	3	2	1	11:9	2	11	W D W L D
5	Oxford United	5	3	1	1	12:6	6	10	W W L W D
6	Plymouth	6	3	1	2	10:8	2	10	W W L W D
7	AFC Wimbledon	6	3	1	2	5:7	-2	10	W W L W D
8	Stockport County	6	3	0	3	16:10	6	9	L W L W L
9	Stevenage	6	2	3	1	11:7	4	9	W W D D L
10	Blackpool	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8	D L L W W
11	Burton Albion	6	2	2	2	10:10	0	8	L D W L W
12	Luton Away	6	2	2	2	12:13	-1	8	L D W L D
13	Leicester	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8	W L W D L
14	Reading	5	2	1	2	12:7	5	7	L W W D L
15	Leyton Orient	6	2	1	3	12:9	3	7	L D W L W
16	Notts County	6	1	4	1	7:7	0	7	L D D W D
17	Mansfield Town Home	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7	D L L W L
18	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	6:11	-5	7	L L W W D
19	Wycombe	6	1	3	2	10:14	-4	6	W D L L D
20	Milton Keynes Dons	6	0	5	1	8:10	-2	5	D D L D D
21	Peterborough	6	1	2	3	4:10	-6	5	D L D L W
22	Bromley	6	1	2	3	6:17	-11	5	D L L L D
23	Wigan	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4	D L W L L
24	Doncaster	6	0	3	3	6:9	-3	3	L L D D D

Promotion - Championship

Promotion - League One (Play Offs)

Relegation - League Two