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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
30.08.2026 14:00
One Call Stadium
Referee: Richard Eley, England
Mansfield Town
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Louis Reed
Mansfield Town
⚽
17'
Nathan Moriah-Welsh · Assist: Jon Russell
Mansfield Town
🟨
26'
Isaiah Jones
Luton
⚽
28'
Nathan Moriah-Welsh · Assist: Regan Hendry
Mansfield Town
⚽
45'
Louis Reed · Assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh
Mansfield Town
🟨
45+2'
Ryan Sweeney
Mansfield Town
🔄
46'
Emilio Lawrence ↔ Benedict Benagr
Luton
🔄
46'
Kal Naismith ↔ Harrison Ashby
Luton
🔄
46'
Isaiah Jones ↔ Joe Johnson
Luton
⚽
47'
Jon Russell
Mansfield Town
🔄
53'
Louis Reed ↔ Elliott Hewitt
Mansfield Town
🔄
53'
Ryan Sweeney ↔ Frazer Blake-Tracy
Mansfield Town
⚽
56'
Jon Russell
Mansfield Town
🔄
62'
Jamie Donley ↔ Gideon Kodua
Luton
🔄
62'
Callum Marshall ↔ Nahki Wells
Luton
🟨
64'
Gideon Kodua
Luton
🔄
68'
Michael Smith ↔ Rhys Oates
Mansfield Town
🔄
68'
Jon Russell ↔ David McGoldrick
Mansfield Town
🟨
77'
Kyle Knoyle
Mansfield Town
⚽
78'
Nahki Wells
Luton
🔄
85'
Kyle Knoyle ↔ Luke Bolton
Mansfield Town
🟨
90+4'
Regan Hendry
Mansfield Town
⚽
90+2'
Nahki Wells
Luton

Mansfield Town vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mansfield Town Win 32.4%
Draw 3.6%
Luton Win 64%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mansfield Town1.85
Luton2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 5 matches
Luton Luton 6 matches
Mansfield Town Statistic Luton
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
11 Goals For 15
10 Goals Against 8
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.5
14 Total Shots 12.5
5 Corners 5
44.5% Ball Possession 61.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield Town won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Mansfield Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Mansfield Town wins 4, draws 7, Luton wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
8 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
12 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
13 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
14
Luton Away
8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two