Manchester United
Match Timeline
Manchester City
Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.7%
|
2.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.56 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 32.5%
Draw 3.9%
Manchester City Win 63.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.6
Manchester City1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
22 GF / 14 GA
Manchester City
WLDWL
16 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
7.25
Shots on Goal
7.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
10 matches
Manchester City
7 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 22 | Goals For | 16 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 7.25 | Shots On Goal | 7.25 |
| 22.25 | Total Shots | 16.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.75 |
| 61.3% | Ball Possession | 70% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 5 times, Manchester City won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Manchester United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Manchester United 5, Manchester City 2
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 5, draws 2, Manchester City wins 8
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
Away
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Manchester United
Home
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship