Manchester United
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 56.8%
Draw 5.8%
Atletico Madrid Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.9
Atletico Madrid2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
5 GF / 1 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
4 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
4
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
2 matches
Atletico Madrid
1 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 5 | Goals For | 4 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 4 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 1 times, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Manchester United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-4-2 / Atletico Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 1, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 3
Lineups
Manchester United
Formation
Atletico Madrid
T. Heaton
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
A. Heaven
L. Shaw
Andrey Santos
M. Mount
A. Diallo
S. Lacey
P. Dorgu
B. Mbeumo
J. Oblak
J. Dominguez
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
C. Martin
O. Vargas
Koke
A. Lookman
J. Castillo
A. Ortiz
Manchester United
4-4-2
Starting XI
22
T. Heaton
15
L. Yoro
5
H. Maguire
↓ 73'
26
A. Heaven
🟨 50'
23
L. Shaw
↓ 73'
17
Andrey Santos
↓ 82'
7
M. Mount
16
A. Diallo
↓ 46'
46
S. Lacey
↓ 73'
13
P. Dorgu
↓ 73'
19
B. Mbeumo
⚽ 53'
⚽ 74'
↓ 82'
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
40
R. Vitek
45
D. Mee
11
J. Zirkzee
↑ 73'
53
E. Williams
↑ 73'
41
H. Amass
↑ 73'
69
D. Armer
↑ 73'
63
J. Thwaites
↑ 82'
39
T. Fletcher
38
J. Fletcher
↑ 46'
61
J. Kamason
77
J. Gabriel
↑ 82'
Atletico Madrid
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
↓ 46'
27
J. Dominguez
↓ 61'
24
R. Le Normand
↓ 46'
17
D. Hancko
↓ 61'
3
M. Ruggeri
↓ 61'
12
C. Martin
↓ 61'
21
O. Vargas
↓ 46'
6
Koke
🎯 5'
↓ 46'
22
A. Lookman
↓ 61'
46
J. Castillo
↓ 61'
54
A. Ortiz
⚽ 5'
↓ 61'
Substitutes
31
S. Esquivel
↑ 46'
55
D. Rubio
15
T. Lemar
↑ 61'
2
J. Gimenez
↑ 46'
23
M. Hjulmand
↑ 46'
32
J. Bonar
↑ 61'
4
R. Mendoza
↑ 46'
40
A. Puric
47
A. Sola
↑ 61'
30
D. Martinez
↑ 61'
49
R. Hueso
↑ 61'
37
I. Luque
↑ 61'
45
S. Esteban
↑ 61'
61
M. Cubo
Last matches: Manchester United
22.08.26
Pre
Manchester United
Hull City
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
19.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
H2H: Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid
01.08.26
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
0
L
30.07.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
0
L
15.03.22
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
23.02.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
1
D
Last matches: Manchester United
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
15.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
4
4
D
04.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
04.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
2
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester United
01.08.26
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
15.03.22
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
04.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
01.08.26
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
L
15.03.22
H2H
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W