ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
15.03.2026 14:00
Old Trafford
Referee: A. Taylor
Manchester United
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa
⚽
53'
Casemiro · Assist: B. Fernandes
Manchester United
🟨
60'
Casemiro
Manchester United
🔄
60'
O. Watkins ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
61'
J. McGinn ↔ L. Bailey
Aston Villa
⚽
64'
R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🟨
69'
Emiliano Buendía
Aston Villa
⚽
71'
M. Cunha · Assist: B. Fernandes
Manchester United
🟨
72'
Leny Yoro
Manchester United
🔄
75'
B. Mbeumo ↔ B. Sesko
Manchester United
⚽
81'
B. Sesko
Manchester United
🔄
82'
R. Barkley ↔ Douglas Luiz
Aston Villa
🔄
82'
L. Digne ↔ I. Maatsen
Aston Villa
🔄
86'
E. Buendia ↔ A. Garcia
Aston Villa
🟨
90+6'
Harry Maguire
Manchester United
🔄
90+1'
Casemiro ↔ M. Ugarte
Manchester United

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.48
Aston Villa1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United Manchester United
WWDLW
52 GF / 42 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
57 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
22
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
20
5.83
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester United Manchester United 30 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 40 matches
Manchester United Statistic Aston Villa
14 Wins 24
9 Draws 6
7 Losses 10
52 Goals For 57
42 Goals Against 44
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
22 BTTS Yes 21
26 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 9
5.83 Shots On Goal 4.6
16.03 Total Shots 12.53
4.47 Corners 5.25
53.7% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 9 times, Aston Villa won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Manchester United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 9, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship