Manchester United
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.48
Aston Villa1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
52 GF / 42 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
57 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
22
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
20
5.83
Shots on Goal
4.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
30 matches
Aston Villa
40 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 24 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 52 | Goals For | 57 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 5.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.6 |
| 16.03 | Total Shots | 12.53 |
| 4.47 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 9 times, Aston Villa won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Manchester United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 9, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 3
Stats
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Manchester United
Formation
Aston Villa
S. Lammens
D. Dalot
L. Yoro
H. Maguire
L. Shaw
Casemiro
K. Mainoo
A. Diallo
B. Fernandes
M. Cunha
B. Mbeumo
E. Martinez
L. Bogarde
E. Konsa
T. Mings
L. Digne
A. Onana
R. Barkley
M. Rogers
J. McGinn
E. Buendia
O. Watkins
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Lammens
G
2
D. Dalot
D
15
L. Yoro
D
🟨 72'
5
H. Maguire
D
🟨 90+6'
23
L. Shaw
D
18
Casemiro
M
⚽ 53'
↓ 90+1'
🟨 60'
37
K. Mainoo
M
16
A. Diallo
M
8
B. Fernandes
M
🎯 53'
🎯 71'
10
M. Cunha
M
⚽ 71'
19
B. Mbeumo
F
↓ 75'
Substitutes
1
A. Bayindir
G
7
M. Mount
M
3
N. Mazraoui
D
11
J. Zirkzee
F
12
T. Malacia
D
25
M. Ugarte
M
↑ 90+1'
30
B. Sesko
F
⚽ 81'
↑ 75'
39
T. Fletcher
M
26
A. Heaven
D
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
26
L. Bogarde
D
4
E. Konsa
D
5
T. Mings
D
12
L. Digne
D
↓ 82'
24
A. Onana
M
6
R. Barkley
M
⚽ 64'
↓ 82'
27
M. Rogers
M
7
J. McGinn
M
↓ 61'
10
E. Buendia
M
↓ 86'
🟨 69'
11
O. Watkins
F
↓ 60'
🟨 41'
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
3
V. Lindelof
D
31
L. Bailey
F
↑ 61'
14
P. Torres
D
21
Douglas Luiz
M
↑ 82'
22
I. Maatsen
D
↑ 82'
9
H. Elliott
M
18
T. Abraham
F
↑ 60'
16
A. Garcia
D
↑ 86'
Last matches: Manchester United
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
H2H: Manchester United vs Aston Villa
15.03.26
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
21.12.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
0
0
D
11.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
2
W
26.12.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
W
10.11.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
4
2
W
06.11.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
3
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
2
D
15.01.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
2
D
10.01.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
W
25.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
0
1
L
09.05.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
W
01.01.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
1
W
Last matches: Manchester United
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Fulham
3
2
W
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
0
W
11.01.26
FA
Manchester United
Brighton
1
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
0
W
15.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
4
4
D
04.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
24.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
4
2
W
04.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
2
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
Manchester United
Burnley
3
2
W
H2H at home: Manchester United
15.03.26
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
0
W
26.12.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
W
10.11.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
4
2
W
23.07.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
2
D
10.01.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
W
25.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
0
1
L
01.01.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
4
L
H2H away: Aston Villa
15.03.26
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
0
L
26.12.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
L
10.11.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
4
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
2
D
10.01.22
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
0
L
25.09.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
0
1
W
01.01.21
H2H
Manchester United
Aston Villa
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship