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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
12.10.2026 17:00
Eleda Stadion
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Malmo FF
Match Timeline
Kalmar FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Carl Gustafsson
Kalmar FF
🔄
45'
Jovan Milosavljević ↔ Sead Hakšabanović
Malmo FF
🟨
57'
Andrej Djuric
Malmo FF
🟨
68'
Miska Ylitolva
Kalmar FF
🔄
69'
Melker Hallberg ↔ Tobias Lauritsen
Kalmar FF
🔄
69'
Mayckel Lahdo ↔ Anders Christiansen
Malmo FF
⚽
72'
Otto Rosengren · Assist: Jens Stryger Larsen
Malmo FF
🔄
73'
Abdussalam Magashy ↔ Noah Shamoun
Kalmar FF
🔄
73'
vilmer tyren ↔ Eskild Dall
Kalmar FF
🔄
78'
Anton Sebastian Höög ↔ Theodor Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
78'
Daniel Gudjohnsen ↔ Emmanuel Ekong
Malmo FF
🔄
80'
Victor Larsson ↔ Sivert Overby
Kalmar FF
🔄
80'
Marius Soderback ↔ Amara Camara
Kalmar FF
🟨
88'
Emmanuel Ekong
Malmo FF
🔄
88'
Otto Rosengren ↔ Bleon Kurtulus
Malmo FF

Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
No
Probability 61.4%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
1.70 ▥
BTTS No
61.4%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Malmo FF Win 77.4%
Draw 6.6%
Kalmar FF Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malmo FF1.56
Kalmar FF1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WWDLW
46 GF / 40 GA
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
WLDWL
39 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
16
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
17
4.95
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malmo FF Malmo FF 29 matches
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 33 matches
Malmo FF Statistic Kalmar FF
13 Wins 10
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 17
46 Goals For 39
40 Goals Against 50
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 12
10 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 14
4.95 Shots On Goal 4
15 Total Shots 13.23
4.91 Corners 4.86
56.9% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Malmo FF's more proactive style and Kalmar FF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Malmo FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 33 points compared to Kalmar FF in 13 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kalmar FF. Kalmar FF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Malmo FF Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Malmo FF have collected 33 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 37:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erik Botheim (9 goals), S. Hakšabanović (4 goals), A. Skogmar (4 goals), with creative support from S. Hakšabanović (6 assists), O. Rosengren (4 assists), Erik Botheim (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kalmar FF Analysis

Kalmar FF approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 19 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 21:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Rosenquist (7 goals), C. Sagoe (3 goals), Rony Jansson (3 goals), with creative support from C. Sagoe (8 assists), Rony Jansson (2 assists), R. Gojani (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Malmo FF won 9 times, Kalmar FF won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from Malmo FF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Malmo FF 4-4-2 / Kalmar FF 4-4-2
Missing players: Malmo FF 7, Kalmar FF 2
H2H summary: Malmo FF wins 9, draws 3, Kalmar FF wins 3

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 23 14 2 7 48:21 27 44
W L W W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10 23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 23 8 6 9 36:41 -5 30
W L L W L
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
Qualifying
Qualifying
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Relegation