SPAIN LA LIGA
10.05.2026 12:00
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Referee: V. Garcia
Mallorca
Match Timeline
Villarreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
29'
Sergi Cardona
Villarreal
31'
A. Perez
Villarreal
45'
V. Muriqi
Mallorca
🔄
62'
J. Mojica ↔ T. Lato
Mallorca
🔄
63'
T. Oluwaseyi ↔ N. Pepe
Villarreal
🔄
63'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Moleiro
Villarreal
🔄
70'
M. Morlanes ↔ J. Virgili
Mallorca
🔄
70'
M. Morey Bauza ↔ M. Calatayud
Mallorca
🔄
70'
A. Perez ↔ G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
🟨
71'
Samú Costa
Mallorca
🔄
71'
T. Buchanan ↔ G. Moreno
Villarreal
🟨
73'
Vedat Muriqi
Mallorca
🔄
75'
S. Comesana ↔ D. Parejo
Villarreal
🔄
76'
P. Torre ↔ D. Lopez
Mallorca

Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mallorca Win 46.8%
Draw 0%
Villarreal Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca1.29
Villarreal1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mallorca Mallorca
WWDLW
47 GF / 54 GA
Villarreal Villarreal
WLDWL
76 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
23
BTTS Yes
25
23
Over 2.5
27
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mallorca Mallorca 37 matches
Villarreal Villarreal 45 matches
Mallorca Statistic Villarreal
12 Wins 22
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 16
47 Goals For 76
54 Goals Against 59
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
23 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 39
23 Over 2.5 27
8 Over 3.5 16
6 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 11
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.78
10.58 Total Shots 13.53
3.58 Corners 4.33
45.8% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Villarreal's more proactive style and Mallorca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Villarreal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mallorca expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Villarreal in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Villarreal having the stronger overall control. Villarreal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 68 points while Mallorca sit 15 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Mallorca Analysis

With 38 points from 34 games and a place of 15, Mallorca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 42:51 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (7 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), J. Mojica (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Villarreal Analysis

Villarreal come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 68 points after 34 matches. They have recorded 21 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a 64:39 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Mikautadze (11 goals), A. Moleiro (10 goals), G. Moreno (9 goals), with creative support from N. Pepe (6 assists), Santi Comesaña (6 assists), G. Mikautadze (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mallorca won 4 times, Villarreal won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Mallorca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Mallorca 4-3-1-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Mallorca 7, Villarreal 2
H2H summary: Mallorca wins 4, draws 4, Villarreal wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2