Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.3%
|
- |
Mallorca
Valencia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mallorca
34 matches
Valencia
36 matches
| Mallorca | Statistic | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 44 | Goals For | 46 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.97 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 10.55 | Total Shots | 11.72 |
| 3.52 | Corners | 5.11 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Valencia seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mallorca expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Valencia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valencia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Valencia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valencia.
Mallorca sit 15 with 34 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 39:48 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (5 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from J. Virgili (4 assists), S. Darder (4 assists), Pablo Torre (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Salas, L. Bergstrom, A. Raillo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 35 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Valencia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 34:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (5 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (5 assists), Javier Guerra (3 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Agirrezabala, J. Copete, M. Diakhaby unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mallorca won 5 times, Valencia won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Mallorca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Valencia
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Mallorca
Home
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|