SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Mallorca
Match Timeline
Valencia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
T. Rendall ↔ Renzo Saravia
Valencia
🟨
41'
Stole Dimitrievski
Valencia
49'
Samu Costa · Assist: S. Darder
Mallorca
🟨
52'
Guido Rodríguez
Valencia
🔄
56'
T. Asano ↔ J. Virgili
Mallorca
🔄
60'
L. Beltran ↔ A. Danjuma
Valencia
🔄
60'
F. Ugrinic ↔ L. Rioja
Valencia
🔄
60'
D. Lopez ↔ J. Guerra
Valencia
67'
U. Sadiq · Assist: J. Guerra
Valencia
🔄
76'
O. Mascarell ↔ A. Sanchez
Mallorca
🔄
76'
M. Morlanes ↔ D. Lopez
Mallorca
🔄
85'
P. Torre ↔ J. Llabres
Mallorca
🔄
90+5'
L. Ramazani ↔ J. Vazquez
Valencia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Mallorca Win 51.3%
Draw 11.6%
Valencia Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca1.32
Valencia1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mallorca Mallorca
WWDLW
44 GF / 51 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
46 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
21
BTTS Yes
18
22
Over 2.5
16
3.97
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mallorca Mallorca 34 matches
Valencia Valencia 36 matches
Mallorca Statistic Valencia
11 Wins 13
7 Draws 8
16 Losses 15
44 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 49
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
21 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 29
22 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 8
3.97 Shots On Goal 3.39
10.55 Total Shots 11.72
3.52 Corners 5.11
45.4% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Valencia seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mallorca expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Valencia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valencia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Valencia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valencia.

Mallorca Analysis

Mallorca sit 15 with 34 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 39:48 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vedat Muriqi (21 goals), Samú Costa (5 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from J. Virgili (4 assists), S. Darder (4 assists), Pablo Torre (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Salas, L. Bergstrom, A. Raillo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Valencia Analysis

With 35 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Valencia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 34:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (5 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (5 assists), Javier Guerra (3 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Agirrezabala, J. Copete, M. Diakhaby unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mallorca won 5 times, Valencia won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Mallorca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Mallorca 4-3-1-2 / Valencia 4-4-2
Missing players: Mallorca 5, Valencia 7
H2H summary: Mallorca wins 5, draws 6, Valencia wins 4
Stats
Mallorca Mallorca
Valencia Valencia
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
15 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
504 Total passes 349
430 Passes accurate 283
1.82 expected_goals 1.68
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mallorca
Formation
Valencia
L. Roman
L. Roman
P. Maffeo
P. Maffeo
M. Valjent
M. Valjent
O. Mascarell
O. Mascarell
J. Mojica
J. Mojica
Samu Costa
Samu Costa
S. Darder
🎯
S. Darder
M. Morlanes
M. Morlanes
P. Torre
P. Torre
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
T. Asano
T. Asano
S. Dimitrievski
S. Dimitrievski
T. Rendall
T. Rendall
C. Tarrega
C. Tarrega
Pepelu
Pepelu
J. Gaya
J. Gaya
D. Lopez
D. Lopez
F. Ugrinic
F. Ugrinic
G. Rodriguez
G. Rodriguez
L. Ramazani
L. Ramazani
U. Sadiq
U. Sadiq
L. Beltran
L. Beltran
Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
L. Roman
G
23
P. Maffeo
D
24
M. Valjent
D
5
O. Mascarell
↓ 76'
D
22
J. Mojica
D
12
Samu Costa
⚽ 49'
M
10
S. Darder
🎯 49'
M
8
M. Morlanes
↓ 76'
M
20
P. Torre
↓ 85'
M
7
V. Muriqi
F
11
T. Asano
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
25
Pichu Cuellar
G
9
A. Prats
F
6
A. Sanchez
↑ 76'
M
19
J. Llabres
↑ 85'
F
28
C. Riba
M
4
M. Kumbulla
D
3
T. Lato
D
2
M. Morey Bauza
D
27
D. Lopez
↑ 76'
D
30
J. Kalumba
F
17
J. Virgili
↑ 56'
F
39
J. Garcia
M
Valencia 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
S. Dimitrievski
🟨 41'
G
12
T. Rendall
↓ 11'
D
5
C. Tarrega
D
18
Pepelu
D
14
J. Gaya
D
16
D. Lopez
↓ 60'
M
23
F. Ugrinic
↓ 60'
M
2
G. Rodriguez
🟨 52'
M
17
L. Ramazani
↓ 90+5'
M
6
U. Sadiq
⚽ 67'
F
15
L. Beltran
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
13
C. Rivero
G
20
Renzo Saravia
↑ 11'
D
7
A. Danjuma
↑ 60'
F
19
D. Raba
F
11
L. Rioja
↑ 60'
F
8
J. Guerra
🎯 67' ↑ 60'
M
29
L. Nunez
M
9
H. Duro
F
10
A. Almeida
M
21
J. Vazquez
↑ 90+5'
D
26
Rubo
D
40
J. Fontanet
D
Last matches: Mallorca
08.08.26
Fri
Mallorca
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Mallorca
Paris Saint Germain
3
0
W
30.07.26
Fri
Mallorca
Al-Ittihad FC
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Mallorca
Al-Fateh
3
0
W
23.05.26
La
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
W
17.05.26
La
Mallorca
Levante
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
3
L
10.05.26
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1
D
01.05.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
0
W
25.04.26
La
Mallorca
Alaves
1
2
L
12.04.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
W
04.04.26
La
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
W
21.03.26
La
Mallorca
Elche
1
2
L
15.03.26
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
1
W
07.03.26
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
28.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
15.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
1
2
L
07.02.26
La
Mallorca
Barcelona
0
3
L
02.02.26
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
4
1
W
Last matches: Valencia
08.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
H2H: Mallorca vs Valencia
21.04.26
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
19.12.25
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
1
0
L
29.11.24
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
1
W
30.03.24
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
0
0
D
07.10.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
25.05.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
0
W
22.10.22
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
1
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
0
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
2
2
D
19.01.20
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
4
1
W
01.09.19
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
2
0
L
17.02.13
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
2
0
L
23.09.12
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
0
W
11.03.12
H2H
Valencia
Mallorca
2
2
D
Last matches: Mallorca
08.08.26
Fri
Mallorca
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Mallorca
Paris Saint Germain
3
0
W
30.07.26
Fri
Mallorca
Al-Ittihad FC
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Mallorca
Al-Fateh
3
0
W
23.05.26
La
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
W
10.05.26
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
W
04.04.26
La
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
W
15.03.26
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
1
W
28.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
15.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
1
2
L
02.02.26
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
4
1
W
17.01.26
La
Mallorca
Athletic Club
3
2
W
04.01.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
2
L
13.12.25
La
Mallorca
Elche
3
1
W
29.11.25
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
09.11.25
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
0
W
26.10.25
La
Mallorca
Levante
1
1
D
27.09.25
La
Mallorca
Alaves
1
0
W
21.09.25
La
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
H2H at home: Mallorca
21.04.26
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
29.11.24
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
1
W
07.10.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
25.05.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
0
1
L
19.01.20
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
4
1
W
23.09.12
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
0
W
Last matches: Valencia
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
01.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Valencia
Getafe
1
0
W
15.01.26
Cop
Valencia
Burgos
2
0
W
03.01.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
4
L
16.12.25
Cop
Valencia
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
13.12.25
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
04.12.25
Cop
Valencia
FC Cartagena
2
1
W
01.12.25
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
01.11.25
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
4
L
28.10.25
Cop
Valencia
Maracena
5
0
W
H2H away: Valencia
21.04.26
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
29.11.24
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
1
L
07.10.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
25.05.23
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
1
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
0
1
W
19.01.20
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
4
1
L
23.09.12
H2H
Mallorca
Valencia
2
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Mallorca 5 missing
-
J. Salas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Bergstrom
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Raillo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Joseph
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Luvumbo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Valencia 7 missing
-
J. Agirrezabala
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Copete
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Diakhaby
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Foulquier
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
U. Nunez
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
E. Comert
Missing Fixture Abdominal strain
OUT
-
B. Santamaria
Missing Fixture Stomach Disorder
OUT