Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Macara
15 matches
Independiente del Valle
18 matches
| Macara | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 16 | Goals For | 30 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.77 | Shots On Goal | 5.59 |
| 13.23 | Total Shots | 18.65 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 6.53 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 59.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Macara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Macara sit 7 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Macara sit 7 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 14:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Franco Posse (4 goals), F. Paz (3 goals), M. Tello (2 goals), with creative support from F. Paz (2 assists), J. Klinger (2 assists), Franco Posse (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 23:13 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Emerson Pata (5 goals), D. Reasco (3 goals), M. Perello (3 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), A. Rodriguez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Macara won 3 times, Independiente del Valle won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:31 from Macara's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Macara
1
6
7
3
5
3
Lineups
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Emelec
Macara
Manta FC
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
FBC Melgar
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Macara
LDU de Quito
Macara
Orense SC
Macara
Libertad
Macara
Barcelona SC
Macara
Aucas
Macara
Delfin SC
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Leones del Norte
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 30 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 28 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 27 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Macara
Home
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | -8 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 13 |
D
L
W
L
D
|