Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Lyon
Rennes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lyon
45 matches
Rennes
34 matches
| Lyon | Statistic | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wins | 18 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 76 | Goals For | 60 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.93 | Shots On Goal | 5.18 |
| 12.84 | Total Shots | 15.03 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 6.15 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rennes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lyon expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rennes in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rennes having the stronger overall control. Rennes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Lyon come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 57 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a 48:32 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Sulc (11 goals), C. Tolisso (9 goals), Endrick (4 goals), with creative support from Afonso Moreira (7 assists), Endrick (6 assists), A. Maitland-Niles (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Rennes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 56 points after 31 outings. The return of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 54:42, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Embolo (8 goals), L. Blas (5 goals), Mousa Tamari (5 goals), with creative support from Mousa Tamari (5 assists), Valentin Rongier (5 assists), L. Blas (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 5 times, Rennes won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:30 from Lyon's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Lyon
9
5
3
3
4
0
Lineups
Lyon
Slavia Praha
Lyon
Servette FC
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
Mâcon
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Nantes
Rennes
Guingamp
Rennes
Caen
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Paris FC
Rennes
Nantes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Rennes
Angers
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Metz
Rennes
Lille
Rennes
Nice
Rennes
Toulouse
Rennes
Auxerre
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Lens
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Rennes
Lorient
Rennes
Le Havre
Rennes
Chantilly
Lyon
Servette FC
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
Mâcon
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Nice
Lyon
Laval
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
PAOK
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Saint-Cyr Collonges
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
GO Ahead Eagles
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Nice
Rennes
Auxerre
Rennes
Lens
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Rennes
Chantilly
Rennes
Lille
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
Rennes
Metz
Rennes
Paris FC
Rennes
Toulouse
Rennes
Le Havre
Rennes
Nantes
Rennes
Angers
Rennes
Lorient
Rennes
Marseille
Rennes
Toulouse
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lyon
Home
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Rennes
Away
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|