FRANCE LIGUE 1
19.09.2026 18:45
Groupama Stadium
Referee: Mathieu Vernice
Lyon
Match Timeline
Rennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Moussa Niakhaté
Lyon
7'
Ernest Nuamah · Assist: Corentin Tolisso
Lyon
🟨
16'
Quentin Merlin
Rennes
30'
Ernest Nuamah · Assist: Pavel Šulc
Lyon
48'
Zachary Athekame
Lyon
🟨
60'
Pavel Šulc
Lyon
🔄
61'
Boulaye Dia ↔ Esteban Lepaul
Rennes
🔄
61'
Arnaud Nordin ↔ Mousa Al-Tamari
Rennes
🔄
62'
Eliezer Mayenda ↔ Ludovic Blas
Rennes
🔄
64'
Pavel Šulc ↔ Khalis Merah
Lyon
🔄
73'
Ernest Nuamah ↔ Kail Boudache
Lyon
🔄
73'
Quentin Merlin ↔ Mahamadou Nagida
Rennes
🔄
73'
Przemysław Frankowski ↔ Bryan Reynolds
Rennes
76'
Corentin Tolisso · Assist: Zachary Athekame
Lyon
🔄
79'
Mads Bidstrup ↔ Tanner Tessmann
Lyon
🔄
79'
Tyler Morton ↔ Noah Teye Nartey
Lyon
🔄
79'
Loïs Openda ↔ Keito Nakamura
Lyon
🟨
81'
Valentin Rongier
Rennes
🟨
86'
Zachary Athekame
Lyon
🟨
90+2'
Noah Teye Nartey
Lyon

Lyon vs Rennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
2.21
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.57
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 59.2%
Draw 9.3%
Rennes Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon1.83
Rennes1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon Lyon
WWDLW
29 GF / 20 GA
Rennes Rennes
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
9
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
5.78
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lyon Lyon 15 matches
Rennes Rennes 12 matches
Lyon Statistic Rennes
8 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
29 Goals For 21
20 Goals Against 20
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
5.78 Shots On Goal 5.6
13.78 Total Shots 18.2
5.22 Corners 4.2
52.2% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 5 times, Rennes won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:30 from Lyon's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-2-3-1 / Rennes 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Lyon 4, Rennes 0
H2H summary: Lyon wins 5, draws 1, Rennes wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2
Lyon Home
5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
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Play-offs
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Relegation