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26.08.2026 19:00
Groupama Stadium
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Lyon
Match Timeline
Fenerbahçe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
V. Muriqi
Fenerbahçe
⚽
28'
A. Brown · Assist: M. Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
🟨
32'
Milan Škriniar
Fenerbahçe
🟨
51'
Loïs Openda
Lyon
⚽
61'
M. Fofana · Assist: A. Maitland-Niles
Lyon
🔄
62'
A. Maitland-Niles ↔ Z. Athekame
Lyon
🔄
62'
E. Nuamah ↔ K. Boudache
Lyon
VAR
65'
Loïs Openda
Lyon
🔄
67'
Talisca ↔ I. Yuksek
Fenerbahçe
VAR
71'
Kaïl Boudache
Lyon
🔄
76'
T. Tessmann ↔ P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
76'
O. Aydin ↔ D. Nene
Fenerbahçe
🔄
80'
V. Muriqi ↔ R. Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
80'
M. Greenwood ↔ I. Kahveci
Fenerbahçe
🔄
86'
Abner Vinicius ↔ N. Tagliafico
Lyon
🔄
86'
T. Morton ↔ M. Bidstrup
Lyon
🟨
90+5'
Dorgeles Nene
Fenerbahçe
🟨
90+4'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Fenerbahçe

Lyon vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 50.7%
Draw 10.8%
Fenerbahçe Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon1.6
Fenerbahçe1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon Lyon
W D W L L
7 GF / 7 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W D L W W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
5.75
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lyon Lyon 10 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 10 matches
Lyon Statistic Fenerbahçe
6 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
22 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 7
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
5 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
5.75 Shots On Goal 7
13.25 Total Shots 16.57
5.25 Corners 6.86
51% Ball Possession 60.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 0 times, Fenerbahçe won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Lyon's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-3-3 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lyon 2, Fenerbahçe 12
H2H summary: Lyon wins 0, draws 2, Fenerbahçe wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 14:5 9 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 12:3 9 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 12:7 5 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 10:5 5 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 7:4 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 7:2 5 7
D W W
7 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
D W W
8 3 2 0 1 11:6 5 6
L W W
9 3 2 0 1 10:5 5 6
W L W
10 3 2 0 1 9:5 4 6
W L W
11 3 2 0 1 9:6 3 6
W W L
12 3 2 0 1 7:4 3 6
L W W
13 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
W L W
14 3 1 2 0 10:5 5 5
D D W
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
W L D
16 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
D W L
17 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W D
18 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
W L D
19 3 1 0 2 8:8 0 3
L W L
20 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
L L W
21 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
W L L
22 3 1 0 2 5:7 -2 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 6:9 -3 3
W L L
26 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L W L
27 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
L L W
28 3 1 0 2 4:9 -5 3
L W L
29 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L L W
30 3 1 0 2 3:8 -5 3
L W L
31 3 0 2 1 3:9 -6 2
D L D
32 3 0 1 2 4:7 -3 1
D L L
33 3 0 1 2 5:9 -4 1
L D L
34 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 4:10 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 1:13 -12 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)