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29.09.2026 18:45
Stade de Luxembourg
Referee: Enea Jorgji, Albania
Luxembourg
Match Timeline
Iceland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Andri Guðjohnsen · Assist: Orri Óskarsson
Iceland
🔄
15'
Laurent Jans ↔ Marvin Martins
Luxembourg
🟨
35'
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson
Iceland
⚽
39'
Orri Óskarsson · Assist: Andri Guðjohnsen
Iceland
🟨
59'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Iceland
🔄
62'
Mathias Olesen ↔ Enzo Duarte
Luxembourg
🔄
62'
Vincent Thill ↔ Jayson Videira Pereira
Luxembourg
🔄
67'
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson ↔ Hörður Magnússon
Iceland
🟨
72'
Leandro Barreiro
Luxembourg
⚽
73'
Victor Pálsson · Assist: Gylfi Sigurðsson
Iceland
🔄
74'
Orri Óskarsson ↔ Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
Iceland
🔄
75'
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson ↔ Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson
Iceland
🔄
75'
Andri Guðjohnsen ↔ Mikael Anderson
Iceland
🔄
76'
Hamza Kadamani ↔ Omar Natami
Luxembourg
🔄
76'
Tomas de Sousa Moreira ↔ Timothé Rupil
Luxembourg
🟨
78'
Mikael Ellertsson
Iceland
🔄
85'
Victor Pálsson ↔ Arnór Sigurðsson
Iceland
🟨
90'
Enes Mahmutović
Luxembourg
🟨
90+1'
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson
Iceland

Luxembourg vs Iceland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Luxembourg Win 34.8%
Draw 48.9%
Iceland Win 16.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luxembourg1.4
Iceland0.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luxembourg Luxembourg
W W L
3 GF / 2 GA
Iceland Iceland
D L L D D
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
2.67
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luxembourg Luxembourg 3 matches
Iceland Iceland 6 matches
Luxembourg Statistic Iceland
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
3 Goals For 4
2 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 3
2.67 Shots On Goal 2.67
8.33 Total Shots 6.83
2.67 Corners 2.17
32.7% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Luxembourg won 1 times, Iceland won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Luxembourg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Luxembourg 4-1-4-1 / Iceland 4-4-2
H2H summary: Luxembourg wins 1, draws 1, Iceland wins 0

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
Promotion
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