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06.10.2026 18:45
Stade de Luxembourg
Referee: Andris Treimanis
Luxembourg
Match Timeline
Bulgaria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
Kristiyan Balov · Assist: Emil Tsenov
Bulgaria
🟨
31'
Georgi Rusev
Bulgaria
⚽
34'
Atanas Iliev · Assist: Georgi Rusev
Bulgaria
🟨
41'
Stefan Velkov
Bulgaria
🔄
45'
Anthony Moris ↔ Tiago Pereira Cardoso
Luxembourg
🔄
45'
jayson videira ↔ Aiman Dardari
Luxembourg
🔄
45'
Enzo dos Santos ↔ Mathias Olesen
Luxembourg
🔄
50'
Georgi Rusev ↔ P. Panayotov
Bulgaria
🟨
51'
Yoan Stoyanov
Bulgaria
🔄
66'
Kristiyan Balov ↔ Stanislav Ivanov
Bulgaria
🔄
66'
Atanas Iliev ↔ Vladimir Nikolov
Bulgaria
🔄
67'
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz ↔ Timothé Rupil
Luxembourg
🔄
78'
Eric Veiga ↔ Sebastien Thill
Luxembourg
🟨
81'
Dirk Carlson
Luxembourg
🔄
83'
Martin Minchev ↔ Kristian Dimitrov
Bulgaria

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 89.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
89.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Luxembourg Win 47.6%
Draw 42.3%
Bulgaria Win 10.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luxembourg1
Bulgaria0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luxembourg Luxembourg
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDWL
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
2.2
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luxembourg Luxembourg 5 matches
Bulgaria Bulgaria 5 matches
Luxembourg Statistic Bulgaria
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
3 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 8
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
2.2 Shots On Goal 2.4
7.6 Total Shots 7.4
2.6 Corners 2.4
42.6% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Luxembourg won 0 times, Bulgaria won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Luxembourg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Luxembourg 4-1-4-1 / Bulgaria 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Luxembourg wins 0, draws 3, Bulgaria wins 2

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
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