BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Passo das Emas
Luverdense
Match Timeline
Inhumas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Gustavo Silva
Luverdense
48'
Pedro Bortoluzo
Luverdense
60'
Gean Junior
Luverdense
72'
Felipe Silva
Luverdense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
-
BTTS Yes
52.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luverdense Win 82.9%
Draw 8.5%
Inhumas Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luverdense1.18
Inhumas0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luverdense Luverdense
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Inhumas Inhumas
WLDWL
3 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luverdense Luverdense 9 matches
Inhumas Inhumas 9 matches
Luverdense Statistic Inhumas
3 Wins 0
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 8
7 Goals For 3
10 Goals Against 16
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Luverdense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 12 points compared to Inhumas in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Inhumas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Inhumas.

Luverdense Analysis

Luverdense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 12 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Pedro Bortoluzo (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inhumas Analysis

Inhumas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 1 points from 9 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 3:16, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Luverdense won 2 times, Inhumas won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Luverdense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
H2H summary: Luverdense wins 2, draws 0, Inhumas wins 0
Last matches: Luverdense
12.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Inhumas
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
2
1
W
Last matches: Inhumas
31.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
L
H2H: Luverdense vs Inhumas
07.06.26
H2H
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Inhumas
Luverdense
1
2
W
Last matches: Luverdense
04.07.26
Ser
Luverdense
Guaporé
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Luverdense
Gama
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Primavera MG
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Luverdense
Brasiliense
0
0
D
02.08.25
Ser
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goiânia
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Luverdense
Mixto
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Luverdense
Aparecidense
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Porto Velho
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Luverdense
Ceilândia
2
2
D
26.04.25
Ser
Luverdense
Goianésia
1
0
W
H2H at home: Luverdense
07.06.26
H2H
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
W
Last matches: Inhumas
24.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Brasiliense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Inhumas
Primavera MG
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Aparecidense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Inhumas
Gama
0
2
L
H2H away: Inhumas
07.06.26
H2H
Luverdense
Inhumas
4
0
L

Standings

Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)