ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
22.08.2026 11:30
Kenilworth Road
Referee: B. Speedie
Luton
Match Timeline
Notts County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
J. Clark ↔ G. Kodua
Luton
🟨
31'
Luka Smyth
Notts County
🟨
32'
George Johnston
Luton
🟨
39'
Scott Robertson
Notts County
42'
N. Wells
Luton
🟨
45'
Kal Naismith
Luton
45'
C. Roberts
Notts County
🟨
47'
Kasey Palmer
Luton
🟨
56'
Nahki Wells
Luton
61'
O. Cooper · Assist: N. Tsaroulla
Notts County
🔄
62'
N. Wells ↔ C. Marshall
Luton
🔄
62'
E. Lawrence ↔ B. Benagr
Luton
🔄
62'
L. Smyth ↔ C. Grant
Notts County
68'
C. Marshall · Assist: K. Palmer
Luton
🔄
72'
S. Robertson ↔ H. Mustapha
Notts County
🔄
73'
N. Tsaroulla ↔ I. Samuels-Smith
Notts County
🔄
73'
C. Roberts ↔ L. Ndlovu
Notts County
🔄
80'
I. Jones ↔ H. Ashby
Luton
🔄
86'
D. Lipsiuc ↔ M. Baker
Notts County
🔄
86'
O. Cooper ↔ Q. Kouhyar
Notts County
🟨
90+3'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🟨
90+3'
Hindolo Mustapha
Notts County

Luton vs Notts County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 58.6%
Draw 7.6%
Notts County Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton2.09
Notts County1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Notts County Notts County
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 5 matches
Notts County Notts County 6 matches
Luton Statistic Notts County
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
13 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 8
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 2
12 Total Shots 16
2 Corners 3
59% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 1 times, Notts County won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Luton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Luton 4-1-4-1 / Notts County 5-3-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 1, draws 4, Notts County wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 0 2 7:4 3 15
W W W L L
2 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
3 7 4 1 2 14:10 4 13
W W W L W
4 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
L D D W W
5 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
D W D W L
6 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
7 7 3 2 2 5:7 -2 11
D W W L W
8 6 3 1 2 14:7 7 10
W L W W D
9 7 3 1 3 16:10 6 10
D L W L W
10 7 3 1 3 13:9 4 10
W L D W L
11 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
12 7 2 3 2 12:12 0 9
D L D W L
13 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
14 7 2 3 2 11:14 -3 9
W W D L L
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16
Luton Home
7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 7 1 2 4 4:12 -8 5
L D L D L
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two