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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
22.08.2026 11:30
Kenilworth Road
Referee: B. Speedie
Luton
Match Timeline
Notts County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
Jordan Clark ↔ Gideon Kodua
Luton
🟨
31'
Luka Smyth
Notts County
🟨
32'
George Johnston
Luton
🟨
39'
Scott Robertson
Notts County
⚽
42'
Nahki Wells
Luton
🟨
45'
Kal Naismith
Luton
⚽
45+1'
Callum Roberts
Notts County
🟨
47'
Kasey Palmer
Luton
🟨
56'
Nahki Wells
Luton
⚽
61'
Oliver Cooper · Assist: Nick Tsaroulla
Notts County
🔄
62'
Nahki Wells ↔ Callum Marshall
Luton
🔄
62'
Emilio Lawrence ↔ Benedict Benagr
Luton
🔄
62'
Luka Smyth ↔ Conor Grant
Notts County
⚽
68'
Callum Marshall · Assist: Kasey Palmer
Luton
🔄
72'
Scott Robertson ↔ Hindolo Mustapha
Notts County
🔄
73'
Callum Roberts ↔ Lee Ndlovu
Notts County
🔄
73'
Nick Tsaroulla ↔ Ishé Samuels-Smith
Notts County
🔄
80'
Isaiah Jones ↔ Harrison Ashby
Luton
🔄
86'
Oliver Cooper ↔ Qamaruddin Kouhyar
Notts County
🔄
86'
Darius Lipsiuc ↔ Matthew Baker
Notts County
🟨
90+3'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🟨
90+3'
Hindolo Mustapha
Notts County

Luton vs Notts County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 58.6%
Draw 7.6%
Notts County Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton2.09
Notts County1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Notts County Notts County
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 5 matches
Notts County Notts County 6 matches
Luton Statistic Notts County
3 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
13 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 8
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 2
12 Total Shots 16
2 Corners 3
59% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 1 times, Notts County won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Luton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Luton 4-1-4-1 / Notts County 5-3-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 1, draws 4, Notts County wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
8 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
12 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
13 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
14
Luton Home
8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two