Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
77.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
69.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.8%
|
- |
Lugazi
Kitara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lugazi
24 matches
Kitara
23 matches
| Lugazi | Statistic | Kitara |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 4 |
| 16 | Goals For | 31 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.61 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kitara's more proactive style and Lugazi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kitara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lugazi have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kitara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 48 points while Lugazi sit 13 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kitara having the stronger overall control.
With 20 points from 24 games and a place of 13, Lugazi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 16:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mungudit (4 goals), A. Kalanzi (3 goals), A. Mulindi (2 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Kitara come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 48 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 34:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Kaddu (7 goals), G. Ssenkaaba (4 goals), G. Wahab (4 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lugazi won 0 times, Kitara won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:9 from Lugazi's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
Express
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
Calvary
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
Kitara
Police
Kitara
BUL
Kitara
Express
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
SC Villa
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
KCCA
Kitara
Vipers
Kitara
Buhimba Saints
Kitara
Mbarara City
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
URA
Kitara
Maroons
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
Express
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
Maroons
Lugazi
Maroons
Lugazi
Mbarara City
Lugazi
SC Villa
Lugazi
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
KCCA
Lugazi
NEC
Lugazi
UPDF
Lugazi
BUL
Lugazi
Vipers
Lugazi
Police
Lugazi
Express
Lugazi
Buhimba Saints
Lugazi
URA
Lugazi
Calvary
Kitara
BUL
Kitara
Express
Kitara
KCCA
Kitara
Vipers
Kitara
Mbarara City
Kitara
UPDF
Kitara
Maroons
Kitara
Calvary
Kitara
NEC
Kitara
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
URA
Kitara
Police
Kitara
SC Villa
Kitara
Buhimba Saints
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Kitara
Away
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 |
Lugazi
Home
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|