Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ludogorets
53 matches
CSKA Sofia
35 matches
| Ludogorets | Statistic | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 18 |
| 14 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 85 | Goals For | 47 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 3.19 |
| 11.44 | Total Shots | 11.06 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 42.1% | Ball Possession | 40.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Ludogorets have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ludogorets expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CSKA Sofia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Sofia having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CSKA Sofia. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Ludogorets approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 64 points from 35 matches. Their record of 18 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 60:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through I. Chochev (16 goals), P. Stanic (9 goals), K. Duah (8 goals), with creative support from P. Stanic (10 assists), I. Chochev (5 assists), Erick Marcus (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
CSKA Sofia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 63 points from 35 matches. The record of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 47:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Pittas (8 goals), J. Eto'o (4 goals), Mohamed Brahimi (4 goals), with creative support from J. Eto'o (10 assists), Pastor (5 assists), I. Pittas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets won 9 times, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:9 from Ludogorets's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 71:25 | 46 | 81 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 54:35 | 19 | 67 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
Ludogorets
Home
|
36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 61:25 | 36 | 67 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia
Away
|
36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 47:30 | 17 | 63 |
L
L
D
W
W
|