🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
20.08.2026 02:30
Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Harbor Miller
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
29'
Nick Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
37'
Lucas Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
45'
Lucas Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟥
45'
Lucas Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
46'
J. Skahan ↔ O. Bouda
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
N. Tsakiris ↔ T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
57'
Dave Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
61'
N. Fernandez ↔ B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
61'
L. Jovanovic ↔ P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
68'
H. Lozano ↔ R. Taylor
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
74'
P. Marie ↔ Vitor Costa
San Jose Earthquakes
79'
J. Paintsil · Assist: H. Miller
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
83'
J. Paintsil ↔ T. Elgersma
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
84'
Jack Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
90+2'
Justin Haak
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
90'
K. Furuhashi ↔ J. Nelson
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 20.1%
Draw 5.9%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 73.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.42
San Jose Earthquakes1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WWDLW
49 GF / 48 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
45 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
20
BTTS Yes
14
21
Over 2.5
14
4.93
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 34 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
12 Wins 13
10 Draws 3
12 Losses 8
49 Goals For 45
48 Goals Against 33
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
20 BTTS Yes 14
29 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
4.93 Shots On Goal 5.11
12.93 Total Shots 12.95
5.33 Corners 6.47
49.8% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Los Angeles Galaxy's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Jose Earthquakes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles Galaxy expected to line up in 4-3-3 and San Jose Earthquakes in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Jose Earthquakes having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 33 points while Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy are currently 12 in the standings with 22 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 24:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Pec (4 goals), Joseph Paintsil (4 goals), Marco Reus (3 goals), with creative support from Marco Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), Joseph Paintsil (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 33 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 37:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 9 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:21 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles Galaxy 6, San Jose Earthquakes 5
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 9, draws 3, San Jose Earthquakes wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 26 8 7 11 44:44 0 31
D L L L W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)