🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.05.2026 01:15
BMO Stadium
Referee: R. Touchan
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
63'
Kim Kee-Hee ↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
H. Dotson ↔ S. Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🔄
69'
P. Rothrock ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🔄
78'
D. Martinez ↔ T. Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🔄
79'
M. Choiniere ↔ S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles FC
🔄
83'
A. Long ↔ Nkosi Tafari
Los Angeles FC
86'
T. Tillman · Assist: T. Boyd
Los Angeles FC
🔄
90+2'
D. Bouanga ↔ A. Smolyakov
Los Angeles FC
🔄
90'
J. Ferreira ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
90'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 38.1%
Draw 14.3%
Seattle Sounders Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.41
Seattle Sounders1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
43 GF / 29 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
34 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
13
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
11
4.82
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 20 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic Seattle Sounders
12 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
43 Goals For 34
29 Goals Against 19
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
13 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
4.82 Shots On Goal 5.13
13.14 Total Shots 13.56
5.55 Corners 4.88
48% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Seattle Sounders. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control. Los Angeles FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

With 21 points from 14 games and a place of 7, Los Angeles FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 23:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Bouanga (6 goals), D. Martinez (5 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (8 assists), D. Bouanga (2 assists), J. Shaffelburg (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 24 points after 12 matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Rothrock (4 goals), A. Rusnak (3 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 10 times, Seattle Sounders won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 3-4-3 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 5, Seattle Sounders 7
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 10, draws 2, Seattle Sounders wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)