🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Stadium
Referee: J. Dickerson
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Timothy Tillman
Los Angeles FC
🟨
51'
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
53'
O. Bouda · Assist: T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
56'
T. Werner · Assist: B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
57'
Ryan Porteous
Los Angeles FC
58'
R. Porteous
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
60'
E. Segura ↔ R. Hollingshead
Los Angeles FC
🔄
60'
D. Martinez ↔ J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
🔄
60'
T. Tillman ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🟨
61'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
62'
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
🔄
69'
J. Ricketts ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
74'
R. Roberts
Los Angeles FC
🔄
76'
T. Werner ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
76'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
80'
O. Bouda · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
81'
S. Palencia ↔ R. Raposo
Los Angeles FC
🔄
86'
R. Vieira ↔ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
86'
P. Judd ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
89'
Ian Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 60.8%
Draw 8.3%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.46
San Jose Earthquakes1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
33 GF / 9 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.73
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
7
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
4
5.31
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 16 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 11 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
10 Wins 9
5 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
33 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 6
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
7 BTTS Yes 2
12 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 2
5.31 Shots On Goal 5.29
14.08 Total Shots 14.29
5.85 Corners 8
49.7% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Jose Earthquakes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Bouanga (4 goals), D. Martinez (2 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (6 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), Marky Delgado (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Dellavalle, S. Eustaquio, Igor Jesus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:2 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Judd (3 goals), Daniel Munie (2 goals), J. Skahan (2 goals), with creative support from B. Leroux (2 assists), J. Ricketts (2 assists), T. Werner (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Jones, Vitor Costa, J. Ricketts, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 8 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:24 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 4, San Jose Earthquakes 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 8, draws 2, San Jose Earthquakes wins 4
Stats
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
504 Total passes 453
432 Passes accurate 383
1.04 expected_goals 1.38
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
Formation
San Jose Earthquakes
H. Lloris
H. Lloris
S. Palencia
S. Palencia
R. Porteous
R. Porteous
Nkosi Tafari
Nkosi Tafari
E. Segura
E. Segura
M. Choiniere
M. Choiniere
M. Delgado
M. Delgado
D. Martinez
D. Martinez
T. Tillman
T. Tillman
D. Bouanga
D. Bouanga
Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
Daniel
Daniel
B. Kikanovic
B. Kikanovic
D. Munie
D. Munie
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
B. Leroux
🎯
B. Leroux
O. Bouda
⚽ 2
O. Bouda
N. Tsakiris
🎯
N. Tsakiris
T. Werner
🎯
T. Werner
P. Judd
P. Judd
Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Lloris
G
14
S. Palencia
↓ 81'
D
5
R. Porteous
⚽ 58' 🟨 57'
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
4
E. Segura
↓ 60'
D
66
M. Choiniere
M
8
M. Delgado
M
30
D. Martinez
↓ 60'
M
11
T. Tillman
↓ 60' 🟨 23'
M
99
D. Bouanga
🟨 62'
M
7
Son Heung-Min
F
Substitutes
31
C. Carter
G
19
T. Boyd
F
24
R. Hollingshead
↑ 60'
D
18
J. Shaffelburg
↑ 60'
F
21
R. Raposo
↑ 81'
M
27
N. Ordaz
F
22
J. Terry
M
33
A. Long
D
17
J. Ebobisse
↑ 60'
F
San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
Daniel
G
28
B. Kikanovic
D
5
D. Munie
D
18
R. Roberts
⚽ 74' 🟨 61'
D
2
J. Ricketts
↓ 69'
D
14
R. Vieira
↓ 86'
M
34
B. Leroux
🎯 56' ↓ 76' 🟨 51'
M
7
O. Bouda
⚽ 53' ⚽ 80'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
🎯 80'
M
11
T. Werner
⚽ 56' 🎯 53' ↓ 76'
M
19
P. Judd
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
36
E. Edwards
G
4
D. Romney
↑ 69'
D
40
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
↑ 86'
M
16
J. Skahan
↑ 76'
M
17
J. Jasinski
D
6
I. Harkes
↑ 76' 🟨 89'
M
21
N. Buck
M
20
N. Fernandez
↑ 86'
M
25
M. Floriani
D
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
25.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
18.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
1
2
L
11.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
1
4
L
07.05.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
0
4
L
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
6
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Austin
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
2
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
1
0
W
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
H2H: Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
19.04.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
L
04.02.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
2
4
W
13.04.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
14.08.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
1
W
23.06.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
6
2
W
04.05.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
3
1
L
09.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
2
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
2
1
L
28.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
16.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
Last matches: Los Angeles FC
25.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
1
0
W
11.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
1
4
L
30.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Toluca
2
1
W
23.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
08.04.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Cruz Azul
3
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Orlando City SC
6
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
2
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
LD Alajuelense
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Los Angeles FC
Real Espana
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Los Angeles FC
Inter Miami
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Los Angeles FC
Orange County SC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Los Angeles FC
19.04.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
L
04.02.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
14.08.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
1
W
23.06.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
6
2
W
09.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
W
28.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
16.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
H2H away: San Jose Earthquakes
19.04.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
4
W
04.02.26
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
20.10.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
L
14.08.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
1
L
23.06.24
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
6
2
L
09.07.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
L
28.05.22
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
L
16.10.21
H2H
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Los Angeles FC 4 missing
-
L. Dellavalle
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Eustaquio
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
Igor Jesus
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Boudri
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
San Jose Earthquakes 4 missing
-
D. Jones
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Vitor Costa
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Ricketts
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
K. Spivey
Questionable Injury
OUT