Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
53.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.1%
|
- |
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Los Angeles FC
16 matches
San Jose Earthquakes
11 matches
| Los Angeles FC | Statistic | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 33 | Goals For | 19 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 0.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.55 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.31 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 14.08 | Total Shots | 14.29 |
| 5.85 | Corners | 8 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Jose Earthquakes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Los Angeles FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Bouanga (4 goals), D. Martinez (2 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (6 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), Marky Delgado (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Dellavalle, S. Eustaquio, Igor Jesus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
San Jose Earthquakes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:2 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Judd (3 goals), Daniel Munie (2 goals), J. Skahan (2 goals), with creative support from B. Leroux (2 assists), J. Ricketts (2 assists), T. Werner (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Jones, Vitor Costa, J. Ricketts, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 8 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:24 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC
Home
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Away
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 34 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:30 | 3 | 34 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 31:28 | 3 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:41 | -13 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:54 | -34 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
L
|