🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.04.2026 23:00
BMO Stadium
Referee: J. Dickerson
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Timothy Tillman
Los Angeles FC
🟨
51'
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
53'
O. Bouda · Assist: T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
56'
T. Werner · Assist: B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
57'
Ryan Porteous
Los Angeles FC
58'
R. Porteous
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
60'
E. Segura ↔ R. Hollingshead
Los Angeles FC
🔄
60'
D. Martinez ↔ J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
🔄
60'
T. Tillman ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🟨
61'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
62'
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
🔄
69'
J. Ricketts ↔ D. Romney
San Jose Earthquakes
74'
R. Roberts
Los Angeles FC
🔄
76'
T. Werner ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
76'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
80'
O. Bouda · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
81'
S. Palencia ↔ R. Raposo
Los Angeles FC
🔄
86'
R. Vieira ↔ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
86'
P. Judd ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
89'
Ian Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 60.8%
Draw 8.3%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.46
San Jose Earthquakes1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
33 GF / 9 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.73
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.55
7
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
4
5.31
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 16 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 11 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
10 Wins 9
5 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
33 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 6
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.55
7 BTTS Yes 2
12 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 2
5.31 Shots On Goal 5.29
14.08 Total Shots 14.29
5.85 Corners 8
49.7% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Jose Earthquakes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 16 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Bouanga (4 goals), D. Martinez (2 goals), M. Choiniere (2 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-Min (6 assists), D. Bouanga (1 assists), Marky Delgado (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Dellavalle, S. Eustaquio, Igor Jesus unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:2 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on P. Judd (3 goals), Daniel Munie (2 goals), J. Skahan (2 goals), with creative support from B. Leroux (2 assists), J. Ricketts (2 assists), T. Werner (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Jones, Vitor Costa, J. Ricketts, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 8 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:24 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 14 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 4, San Jose Earthquakes 4
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 8, draws 2, San Jose Earthquakes wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)