🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.08.2026 02:30
BMO Stadium
Referee: J. Freemon
Los Angeles FC
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
D. Da Costa · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🟨
16'
Mathieu Choinière
Los Angeles FC
🔄
20'
T. Tillman ↔ J. Shaffelburg
Los Angeles FC
🟨
31'
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers
🔄
54'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🔄
54'
A. Lassiter ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
56'
J. Fory ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
70'
K. Kelsy ↔ V. Janssen
Portland Timbers
🔄
70'
K. Velde ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🔄
76'
M. Choiniere ↔ J. Terry
Los Angeles FC
🔄
76'
Y. Cheberko ↔ R. Raposo
Los Angeles FC
79'
D. Bouanga · Assist: J. Terry
Los Angeles FC
🟨
86'
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
🟨
89'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+3'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers
🟥
90+3'
Vincent Janssen
Portland Timbers

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles FC Win 64.6%
Draw 3.9%
Portland Timbers Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles FC1.78
Portland Timbers1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WWDLW
58 GF / 33 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
45 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
15
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
18
4.41
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 25 matches
Los Angeles FC Statistic Portland Timbers
17 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 11
58 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 45
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
15 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 13
15 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
4.41 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.72 Total Shots 13.2
5.45 Corners 4.75
46.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Los Angeles FC's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Portland Timbers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Los Angeles FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Los Angeles FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Portland Timbers in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Los Angeles FC Analysis

Los Angeles FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 34 points after 19 matches. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 35:19, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Denis Bouanga (9 goals), David Martínez Morales (4 goals), Son Heung-min (3 goals), with creative support from Son Heung-min (6 assists), Denis Bouanga (2 assists), Tyler Boyd (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Portland Timbers Analysis

So far, Portland Timbers have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 24 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 33:33 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Felipe Mora (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (4 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC won 5 times, Portland Timbers won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:23 from Los Angeles FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles FC 4-3-3 / Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Los Angeles FC 4, Portland Timbers 3
H2H summary: Los Angeles FC wins 5, draws 5, Portland Timbers wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)