ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Eduardo Gallardo
Los Andes
Match Timeline
San Miguel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
F. Tisera
Los Andes
🟨
41'
M. Asenjo
Los Andes
🟨
47'
J. Ferrero
San Miguel
55'
A. V. Chamorro · Assist: M. Asenjo
Los Andes
🔄
67'
M. Oses ↔ L. Brochero
San Miguel
🔄
67'
D. Juarez ↔ T. Jerez
San Miguel
68'
L. Brochero · Assist: T. Jerez
San Miguel
🔄
76'
S. Ortiz ↔ F. Rodriguez
Los Andes
🔄
76'
N. Fernandez ↔ T. Modlin
Los Andes
🔄
77'
E. De la Cruz ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
🔄
88'
M. Serra ↔ L. Desabato
San Miguel
🔄
88'
J. Ferrero ↔ G. Fernandez
San Miguel
🟨
90+6'
I. Ramirez
San Miguel

Los Andes vs San Miguel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.6%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Los Andes Win 80.6%
Draw 9%
San Miguel Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Andes0.93
San Miguel0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Andes Los Andes
WWDLW
21 GF / 16 GA
San Miguel San Miguel
WLDWL
22 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.76
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
6
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Andes Los Andes 28 matches
San Miguel San Miguel 29 matches
Los Andes Statistic San Miguel
8 Wins 6
12 Draws 11
8 Losses 12
21 Goals For 22
16 Goals Against 35
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
6 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 20
5 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 2
16 Clean Sheets 9
15 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Los Andes's more proactive style and San Miguel's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Miguel. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Miguel having the stronger overall control.

Los Andes Analysis

Los Andes sit 10 with 34 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 20:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Miguel Analysis

With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 15, San Miguel still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Los Andes won 3 times, San Miguel won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Los Andes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
H2H summary: Los Andes wins 3, draws 4, San Miguel wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation