Londrina vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.4%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
11.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.71 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.7%
|
2.00 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.95 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Londrina
27 matches
Ponte Preta
27 matches
| Londrina | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 21 |
| 32 | Goals For | 16 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.59 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.07 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.19 |
| 13.41 | Total Shots | 10.52 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.56 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ponte Preta in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 22 points from 26 games and a place of 18, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 26 games and a place of 20, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 16:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 6 times, Ponte Preta won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Londrina's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Londrina
Home
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 19 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21:48 | -27 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16:56 | -40 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|