Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- |
Lokomotiv
Zenit
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lokomotiv
25 matches
Zenit
25 matches
| Lokomotiv | Statistic | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 51 | Goals For | 45 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.68 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.36 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 13.84 | Total Shots | 12.8 |
| 4.24 | Corners | 5.52 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 59.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Zenit look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zenit in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zenit having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zenit.
Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 48 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, while the 50:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Pinyaev unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 55 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 44:17 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Maksim Glushenkov (9 goals), A. Sobolev (7 goals), A. Mostovoy (6 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (5 assists), Luiz Henrique (3 assists), A. Sobolev (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with V. Shilov, Gustavo Mantuan unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 2 times, Zenit won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Lokomotiv
5
1
6
5
3
6
Lineups
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Baltika
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Krylia Sovetov
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
Zenit
FK Crvena Zvezda
Zenit
Neftchi
Zenit
Gimnasia L.P.
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
Zenit
Leningradets
Zenit
FC Rostov
Zenit
FC Sochi
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
Akhmat
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
Kairat Almaty
Zenit
Dynamo
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Zenit
Baltika
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Spartak Kostroma
Lokomotiv
Znamya Truda
Lokomotiv
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Baltika
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
Lokomotiv
Akron
Lokomotiv
Akhmat
Lokomotiv
Nizhny Novgorod
Lokomotiv
Pyunik Yerevan
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Samarqand
Lokomotiv
Yelimay Semey
Lokomotiv
FC Urartu
Lokomotiv
FC Noah
Lokomotiv
Chengdu Better City
Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Rostov
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
Zenit
Dynamo
Zenit
FC Orenburg
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
Nizhny Novgorod
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit
FC Sochi
Zenit
Akron
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
Baltika
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Akhmat
Zenit
Rubin
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zenit
Away
|
30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 34 | 68 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 37 | 66 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Lokomotiv
Home
|
30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 15 | 53 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 8 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 11 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 43 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 37 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | -18 | 27 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | -24 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|