RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
22.04.2026 16:45
RZD Arena
Referee: A. Sukhoy
Lokomotiv
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Douglas Santos
Zenit
🟨
32'
Aleksandr Rudenko
Lokomotiv
🟨
38'
Aleksey Batrakov
Lokomotiv
🟨
40'
Maksim Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
46'
A. Rudenko ↔ D. Chevardin
Lokomotiv
🔄
58'
M. Glushenkov ↔ A. Mostovoy
Zenit
🔄
58'
D. Santos ↔ R. Vega
Zenit
🔄
64'
A. Sobolev ↔ J. Duran
Zenit
🔄
69'
D. Vorobyev ↔ N. Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🟨
72'
Wendel
Zenit
🔄
74'
A. Karpukas ↔ L. Vera
Lokomotiv
🔄
74'
Z. Bakaev ↔ S. Pinyaev
Lokomotiv
🟨
75'
Jhon Durán
Zenit
🔄
84'
Lucas Fasson ↔ M. Nenakhov
Lokomotiv
🟨
89'
Evgeniy Morozov
Lokomotiv
🔄
89'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Jhon Jhon
Zenit
🔄
89'
V. Drkusic ↔ D. Kondakov
Zenit
🟨
90+10'
Danil Prutsev
Lokomotiv
🟨
90+2'
Nikolay Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
VAR
90+5'
Nikolay Komlichenko
Lokomotiv
🟨
90+8'
Jhon Jhon
Zenit
🟨
90+6'
Nino
Zenit
🟨
90+3'
Igor Diveev
Zenit

Lokomotiv vs Zenit Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Win 37.8%
Draw 18.6%
Zenit Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv1.5
Zenit1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Lokomotiv
WWDLW
51 GF / 33 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
45 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
18
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
10
5.36
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 25 matches
Zenit Zenit 25 matches
Lokomotiv Statistic Zenit
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 7
3 Losses 2
51 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 17
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
18 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 12
2 Failed To Score 2
5.36 Shots On Goal 5
13.84 Total Shots 12.8
4.24 Corners 5.52
50.3% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Zenit look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zenit in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zenit having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zenit.

Lokomotiv Analysis

Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 48 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, while the 50:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (13 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Pinyaev unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 55 points after 25 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 44:17 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Maksim Glushenkov (9 goals), A. Sobolev (7 goals), A. Mostovoy (6 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (5 assists), Luiz Henrique (3 assists), A. Sobolev (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with V. Shilov, Gustavo Mantuan unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv won 2 times, Zenit won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Lokomotiv's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1 / Zenit 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Lokomotiv 1, Zenit 2
H2H summary: Lokomotiv wins 2, draws 6, Zenit wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Zenit Away
30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation