SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
29.08.2026 11:00
Skarsjövallen
Referee: Max Persson, Sweden
Ljungskile SK
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
48'
Motaraghebjafarpour Arash
IFK Varnamo
🔄
63'
L. Lindholm Corner ↔ D. Lagerlof
Ljungskile SK
🔄
63'
M. Uzel ↔ E. Reljanovic
Ljungskile SK
🟨
65'
Calle Johansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
69'
K. Meriluoto ↔ H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
69'
M. Akinfenwa ↔ S. Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
72'
Sigge Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
76'
Samuel Ohlsson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
78'
V. Tyren ↔ A. Rasheed
Ljungskile SK
🟨
85'
Daniel Lagerlöf
Ljungskile SK
🔄
88'
W. Nilsson ↔ J. Liljedahl
Ljungskile SK
🔄
89'
M. Antonsson ↔ B. Zulovic
IFK Varnamo
90'
B. Zulovic · Assist: H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo

Ljungskile SK vs IFK Varnamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.8%
2.22
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Ljungskile SK Win 50.8%
Draw 17.9%
IFK Varnamo Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ljungskile SK1.71
IFK Varnamo1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK
WWDLW
49 GF / 38 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
38 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
19
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
16
2.28
Shots on Goal
1.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK 30 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 28 matches
Ljungskile SK Statistic IFK Varnamo
13 Wins 7
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 14
49 Goals For 38
38 Goals Against 51
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
19 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 10
2.28 Shots On Goal 1.82
5 Total Shots 3.06
2.56 Corners 2.24
25.3% Ball Possession 28.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ljungskile SK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and IFK Varnamo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IFK Varnamo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IFK Varnamo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Ljungskile SK Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Ljungskile SK have collected 23 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 27:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 23:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ljungskile SK won 5 times, IFK Varnamo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:2 from Ljungskile SK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Ljungskile SK 4-2-3-1 / IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ljungskile SK wins 5, draws 0, IFK Varnamo wins 0

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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