Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Livingston
37 matches
Kilmarnock
37 matches
| Livingston | Statistic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 9 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 18 |
| 39 | Goals For | 46 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 3.95 |
| 9.84 | Total Shots | 11.27 |
| 4.62 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Livingston expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kilmarnock in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kilmarnock having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kilmarnock. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 36 matches, Livingston have collected 20 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 14 draws, and 20 losses, while the 39:71 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Smith (7 goals), Jeremy Bokila (5 goals), R. Muirhead (5 goals), with creative support from Cristian Montano (3 assists), M. Tait (3 assists), L. Smith (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 34 points from 36 outings, Kilmarnock continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 43:66 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tyreece John-Jules (8 goals), Bruce Anderson (4 goals), G. Kiltie (4 goals), with creative support from G. Kiltie (6 assists), Tyreece John-Jules (2 assists), Bruce Anderson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Livingston won 5 times, Kilmarnock won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Livingston's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Livingston
4
4
3
6
2
4
Lineups
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Alloa Athletic
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Hibernian
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Celtic
Livingston
Falkirk
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Linfield
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Falkirk
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
ST Mirren
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Livingston
Celtic
Livingston
Dundee
Livingston
Aberdeen
Livingston
Hibernian
Livingston
Motherwell
Livingston
Rangers
Livingston
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Linfield
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Celtic
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
Away
|
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 12 |
Livingston
Home
|
33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|