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20.10.2026 19:00
Anfield
Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Liverpool vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.1%
1.14 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.46 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Win 50.4%
Draw 19.7%
Villarreal Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool1.6
Villarreal1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Liverpool
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
Villarreal Villarreal
WLDWL
24 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
5.44
Shots on Goal
6.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Liverpool 11 matches
Villarreal Villarreal 15 matches
Liverpool Statistic Villarreal
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 6
19 Goals For 24
15 Goals Against 21
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
6 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
5.44 Shots On Goal 6.09
16.67 Total Shots 16
5.78 Corners 6.82
55.4% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool won 3 times, Villarreal won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Liverpool's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool 4-2-3-1 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Liverpool 6, Villarreal 2
H2H summary: Liverpool wins 3, draws 0, Villarreal wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)