20.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Belvedere
Referee: G. Tejera

Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 2.31
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
2.31
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 3-0
-
21.00
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 61.4%
Draw 5.6%
Racing Montevideo Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.08
Racing Montevideo1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
38 GF / 29 GA
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
35 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
13
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 30 matches
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 28 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Racing Montevideo
11 Wins 14
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 4
38 Goals For 35
29 Goals Against 22
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 6
3.5 Shots On Goal 0
11.5 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
56% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Racing Montevideo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Liverpool Montevideo expected to line up in 4-1-2-3 and Racing Montevideo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Liverpool Montevideo Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Liverpool Montevideo have collected 42 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 37:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 52 points after 28 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a 35:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 0 times, Racing Montevideo won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 4-1-2-3 / Racing Montevideo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 0, draws 4, Racing Montevideo wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 5 6 46:23 23 55
W W W L D
2 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
3 27 15 5 7 47:31 16 50
W W W W W
4 28 14 7 7 42:27 15 49
L W L D W
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 28 11 9 8 37:27 10 42
L W D W W
8 28 10 8 10 30:33 -3 38
D D L L L
9 28 9 7 12 36:35 1 34
L L L L L
10 28 8 9 11 28:30 -2 33
D L D D D
11 28 8 8 12 32:38 -6 32
D D W W L
12 28 7 11 10 23:30 -7 32
W D L D L
13 29 9 5 15 23:43 -20 32
L W W D L
14 29 8 6 15 28:40 -12 30
L L L D W
15 28 4 13 11 23:37 -14 25
D L L D D
16 29 7 4 18 23:42 -19 25
W L W W L
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