Liverpool Montevideo
Match Timeline
Progreso
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.27
Progreso1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool Montevideo
12 matches
Progreso
12 matches
| Liverpool Montevideo | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 15 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 6 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:20 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 5-2-3 / Progreso -
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 6, draws 5, Progreso wins 4
Lineups
Liverpool Montevideo
Formation
Progreso
S. Lentinelly
M. Rea
E. Castillo
L. Suarez
F. Perdomo
F. Catarozzi
G. Napoli
M. Castro
L. Acosta
N. Vallejo
A. Hernandez
N. Gentilio
G. Trasante
M. Paolini
L. N. Olivera Moreira
F. Kidd
A. Garcia
I. Lemmo
G. Silva
A. Pinheiro
F. Lopez
G. Silva
Liverpool Montevideo
4-2-3-1
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
21
S. Lentinelly
G
2
M. Rea
D
↓ 90+2'
🟨 82'
23
E. Castillo
D
3
L. Suarez
D
🟨 14'
4
F. Perdomo
D
5
F. Catarozzi
M
↓ 90+2'
🟨 76'
8
G. Napoli
M
↓ 80'
11
M. Castro
M
⚽ 67'
↓ 80'
16
L. Acosta
M
⚽ 11'
7
N. Vallejo
M
↓ 88'
10
A. Hernandez
F
⚽ 90'
🟨 78'
Substitutes
25
E. Marquez
G
6
S. Milano
M
26
N. Cabral
D
32
F. Bregante
↑ 90+2'
31
L. Wasilewsky
M
↑ 80'
29
G. de Mello
M
↑ 90+2'
80
M. Mir
M
19
E. Forclaz
M
↑ 80'
9
R. Machado
F
↑ 88'
17
N. Soria
F
Progreso
4-2-2-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
N. Gentilio
G
16
G. Trasante
D
4
M. Paolini
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
⚽ 44'
6
F. Kidd
D
🟨 88'
7
A. Garcia
M
↓ 81'
10
I. Lemmo
M
18
G. Silva
M
↓ 74'
5
A. Pinheiro
M
19
F. Lopez
F
↓ 81'
9
G. Silva
F
↓ 46'
🟨 21'
Substitutes
12
L. Fernandez
G
F. Garcia
D
13
H. Carroso
D
28
D. Asconeguy
D
14
N. Lopez
F
↑ 81'
21
J. Rivero
M
↑ 81'
29
N. Fernandez
M
↑ 74'
15
R. Hernandez
17
F. Sosa
26
M. Copelotti
F
↑ 46'
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
25.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
3
D
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
25.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
H2H: Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso
31.03.26
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.10.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
W
03.11.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
03.10.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
L
04.06.21
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
W
30.01.21
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
0
4
W
08.03.20
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
L
02.03.19
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
5
L
06.10.18
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
08.04.18
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
18.04.15
H2H
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
15.11.14
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
6
0
W
Last matches: Liverpool Montevideo
12.07.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
1
2
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
3
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
16.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
0
1
L
11.10.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
0
0
D
20.05.15
Seg
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Teresa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Liverpool Montevideo
26.10.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
1
W
03.11.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
W
03.10.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.20
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
5
L
08.04.18
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
15.11.14
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
6
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
01.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
1
2
L
03.12.23
Seg
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
24.11.23
Seg
Progreso
SUD America
4
0
W
14.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Atenas
1
1
D
H2H away: Progreso
26.10.25
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
2
1
L
03.10.21
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
W
08.03.20
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
02.03.19
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
3
5
W
08.04.18
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
15.11.14
H2H
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
6
0
L
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Home
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 |
Progreso
Away
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs