26.10.2025 19:00
Estadio Belvedere
Referee: Leodan Frankin Gonzalez Cabrera, Uruguay
Liverpool Montevideo
Match Timeline
Progreso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
L. Acosta
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
14'
Lucas Suárez
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
21'
Gary Silva
Progreso
⚽
44'
L. N. Olivera Moreira
Progreso
🔄
46'
G. Silva ↔ M. Copelotti
Progreso
⚽
67'
M. Castro
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
74'
G. Silva ↔ N. Fernandez
Progreso
🟨
76'
Franco Catarozzi
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
78'
Abel Hernández
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
G. Napoli ↔ L. Wasilewsky
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
80'
M. Castro ↔ E. Forclaz
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
81'
F. Lopez ↔ N. Lopez
Progreso
🔄
81'
A. Garcia ↔ J. Rivero
Progreso
🟨
82'
Martín Rea
Liverpool Montevideo
🟨
88'
Facundo Kidd
Progreso
🔄
88'
N. Vallejo ↔ R. Machado
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
90+2'
M. Rea ↔ F. Bregante
Liverpool Montevideo
🔄
90+2'
F. Catarozzi ↔ G. de Mello
Liverpool Montevideo
⚽
90'
A. Hernandez
Liverpool Montevideo

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Liverpool Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Liverpool Montevideo1.27
Progreso1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Progreso Progreso
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 12 matches
Progreso Progreso 12 matches
Liverpool Montevideo Statistic Progreso
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
16 Goals For 15
12 Goals Against 14
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 6 times, Progreso won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:20 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Liverpool Montevideo 3-4-1-2 / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Liverpool Montevideo wins 6, draws 5, Progreso wins 4

Standings

Primera Division 2025, Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 30:12 18 35
L D W W W
2 15 8 6 1 25:11 14 27
W D D D D
3 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
L W W L D
4 15 6 8 1 26:10 16 26
D D W D D
5 15 7 4 4 19:14 5 25
W W D D D
6 15 7 4 4 19:16 3 25
L L L W W
7 15 7 3 5 13:13 0 24
D D W W W
8 15 7 2 6 13:16 -3 23
D L L W L
9 15 6 3 6 18:13 5 21
W W L D D
10 15 5 3 7 17:23 -6 18
D L L L W
11 15 4 5 6 14:22 -8 17
W L D D D
12 15 4 4 7 8:13 -5 16
D W L D L
13 15 3 5 7 12:18 -6 14
W D W D W
14 15 3 4 8 17:26 -9 13
L D L L D
15 15 2 2 11 9:26 -17 8
L L W L L
16 15 1 4 10 7:25 -18 7
L D D L D
Playoffs