Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
73.2%
|
1.14 | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.5%
|
1.64 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.85 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
5.50 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Liverpool Montevideo
26 matches
Cerro
24 matches
| Liverpool Montevideo | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 31 | Goals For | 17 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 1.17 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 3.83 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 1.33 | Corners | 0 |
| 18.7% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerro having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro.
So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 23 matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Cerro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 23 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 15:34, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 6 times, Cerro won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Liverpool Montevideo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 17 | 46 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40:24 | 16 | 45 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 45 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Home
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 30 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 27 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Cerro
Away
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18:37 | -19 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
L
|