Lincoln
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Lincoln Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lincoln1.17
Luton1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lincoln
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Luton
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.43
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lincoln
8 matches
Luton
7 matches
| Lincoln | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 10 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 7.25 | Total Shots | 13.29 |
| 3.13 | Corners | 7.57 |
| 36.4% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Lincoln won 1 times, Luton won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from Lincoln's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Lincoln 4-4-2 / Luton 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Lincoln wins 1, draws 4, Luton wins 5
Stats
Lincoln
Luton
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Lincoln
Formation
Luton
G. Wickens
T. Darikwa
A. Jackson
S. Bradley
A. Reach
R. Street
C. McGrandles
T. Bayliss
B. House
F. Draper
J. Collins
J. Keeley
T. Mengi
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
G. Saville
N. Lonwijk
Z. Nelson
J. Clark
M. Alli
N. Wells
J. Yates
Lincoln
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
G. Wickens
G
2
T. Darikwa
D
5
A. Jackson
D
15
S. Bradley
D
3
A. Reach
D
17
R. Street
M
↓ 66'
14
C. McGrandles
M
8
T. Bayliss
M
↓ 90+7'
18
B. House
M
⚽ 12'
⚽ 90'
↓ 90+7'
34
F. Draper
F
🎯 12'
↓ 80'
9
J. Collins
F
↓ 80'
🟨 17'
Substitutes
13
Z. Jeacock
G
6
R. Towler
D
12
E. Ring
M
↑ 90+7'
19
F. Okoronkwo
↑ 80'
36
J. Obikwu
F
⚽ 85'
🎯 90'
↑ 80'
22
T. Hamer
D
↑ 66'
24
I. Varfolomeev
M
↑ 90+7'
Luton
3-1-4-2
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
15
T. Mengi
D
↓ 60'
🟨 55'
5
M. Andersen
D
3
K. Naismith
D
↓ 65'
23
G. Saville
M
🟨 53'
17
N. Lonwijk
M
🟨 24'
37
Z. Nelson
M
↓ 65'
18
J. Clark
M
⚽ 77'
7
M. Alli
M
🎯 77'
21
N. Wells
F
↓ 88'
9
J. Yates
F
↓ 46'
🟨 45+2'
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
14
S. Morris
F
↑ 60'
20
L. Nordas
F
↑ 88'
22
L. Fanne
M
28
C. Makosso
D
↑ 65'
31
J. Gbode
F
↑ 46'
🟨 72'
33
C. Bramall
D
↑ 65'
Last matches: Lincoln
15.08.26
Cha
Lincoln
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Barnsley
0
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Lincoln
Doncaster
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Grimsby
1
5
L
17.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Boston United
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Lincoln United
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lea
Lincoln
Port Vale
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Wycombe
4
3
W
21.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stevenage
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Reading
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Rotherham
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Huddersfield
2
2
D
14.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stockport County
3
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Exeter City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Cardiff
2
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Blackpool
4
0
W
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H: Lincoln vs Luton
17.01.26
H2H
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
3
1
W
01.01.18
H2H
Luton
Lincoln
4
2
L
02.09.17
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
04.01.14
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
21.09.13
H2H
Luton
Lincoln
3
2
L
09.04.13
H2H
Luton
Lincoln
3
0
L
06.10.12
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
2
L
06.12.11
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
1
D
17.09.11
H2H
Luton
Lincoln
1
0
L
Last matches: Lincoln
17.07.26
Fri
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Wycombe
4
3
W
11.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Rotherham
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Stockport County
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Blackpool
4
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Northampton
4
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Lincoln
Bolton
1
1
D
27.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Bradford
3
0
W
22.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Burton Albion
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Peterborough
5
2
W
01.01.26
Lea
Lincoln
Huddersfield
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Lincoln
Cardiff
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Lincoln
Barnsley
3
1
W
29.11.25
Lea
Lincoln
Port Vale
1
0
W
15.11.25
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
1
W
18.10.25
Lea
Lincoln
Stevenage
1
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Lincoln
Exeter City
0
1
L
06.09.25
Lea
Lincoln
Wigan
2
2
D
H2H at home: Lincoln
20.09.25
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
3
1
W
02.09.17
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
04.01.14
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
06.10.12
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
2
L
06.12.11
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
1
D
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
H2H away: Luton
20.09.25
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
3
1
L
02.09.17
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
04.01.14
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
0
0
D
06.10.12
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
2
W
06.12.11
H2H
Lincoln
Luton
1
1
D
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln
Home
|
46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two