NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: E. Eskas
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
L. Ranger
Lillestrom
🟨
30'
Marcus Melchior
Sandefjord
49'
N. Moller
Sandefjord
🔄
60'
E. Pettersen ↔ J. Vester
Sandefjord
🔄
61'
B. Berntsen ↔ E. Patoulidis
Sandefjord
🔄
61'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🟨
62'
Zinedin Smajlović
Sandefjord
🟨
70'
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Lillestrom
🔄
78'
C. Jebara ↔ F. Elkaer
Lillestrom
🔄
78'
S. Ottesen ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
84'
G. Nyheim
Lillestrom
🟨
87'
Zinedin Smajlović
Sandefjord
🟥
87'
Zinedin Smajlović
Sandefjord
🔄
88'
G. Nyheim ↔ K. Krygard
Lillestrom
🔄
88'
S. Drammeh ↔ Y. Paintsil
Lillestrom
🟨
90+2'
Kevin Martin Krygard
Lillestrom
🔄
90'
H. Woxen ↔ E. B. Garnas
Lillestrom
🔄
90'
M. Melchior ↔ R. Dzabic
Sandefjord
🔄
90'
R. Alte ↔ S. Kristiansen
Sandefjord
90'
L. Alperud · Assist: Felix Va
Lillestrom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 59%
Draw 11.2%
Sandefjord Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.71
Sandefjord1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 18 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 18 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Sandefjord
8 Wins 11
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
38 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 20
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 5
12.75 Total Shots 15.5
4.63 Corners 6.25
50.9% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Lillestrom's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sandefjord. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sandefjord in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lillestrom Analysis

Placed 3 with 16 points from 8 outings, Lillestrom continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (3 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Sandefjord have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:7 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Patoulidis (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), Nikolaj Möller (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Vetle Walle Egeli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 7 times, Sandefjord won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Lillestrom's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-1-4-1 / Sandefjord 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lillestrom 6, Sandefjord 5
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 7, draws 3, Sandefjord wins 3
Stats
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
505 Total passes 453
410 Passes accurate 358
1.91 expected_goals 1.07
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Lillestrom
Formation
Sandefjord
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
L. Ranger
S. Foss
S. Foss
R. Gabrielsen
R. Gabrielsen
S. Ottesen
S. Ottesen
H. Woxen
H. Woxen
C. Jebara
C. Jebara
M. Karlsbakk
M. Karlsbakk
G. Nyheim
G. Nyheim
S. Drammeh
S. Drammeh
Felix Va
🎯
Felix Va
E. Hadaya
E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
X. Lambrix
V. Egeli
V. Egeli
S. Mork
S. Mork
B. Berntsen
B. Berntsen
E. Pettersen
E. Pettersen
M. Melchior
M. Melchior
R. Alte
R. Alte
N. Moller
N. Moller
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
P. Dahlberg
G
2
L. Ranger
⚽ 12'
D
5
S. Foss
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
3
S. Ottesen
↓ 78'
D
6
H. Woxen
↓ 90'
M
19
C. Jebara
↓ 78'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
M
14
G. Nyheim
⚽ 84' ↓ 88' 🟨 70'
M
15
S. Drammeh
↓ 88'
M
20
Felix Va
🎯 90'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Hagerup
G
4
E. B. Garnas
↑ 90'
D
22
J. Kitolano
D
11
F. Elkaer
↑ 78'
D
9
K. Arierhi
F
27
M. Waehler
F
18
K. Krygard
↑ 88' 🟨 90+2'
M
26
Y. Paintsil
↑ 88'
M
7
L. Alperud
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
M
Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
E. Hadaya
G
4
F. Pedersen
D
2
Z. Smajlovic
🟨 62' 🟨 87' 🟥 87'
D
44
X. Lambrix
D
3
V. Egeli
D
6
S. Mork
M
19
B. Berntsen
↓ 61'
M
14
E. Pettersen
↓ 60'
M
20
M. Melchior
↓ 90' 🟨 30'
M
10
R. Alte
↓ 90'
M
11
N. Moller
⚽ 49' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gronneberg
G
7
E. Patoulidis
↑ 61'
M
8
R. Dzabic
↑ 90'
M
47
S. Kristiansen
↑ 90'
D
37
J. Vester
↑ 60'
M
24
S. Mathisen
↑ 61'
F
5
G. Hojbjerg
D
17
F. Apetorgbor
F
29
K. Halvorsen
M
Last matches: Lillestrom
09.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
Last matches: Sandefjord
07.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
H2H: Lillestrom vs Sandefjord
16.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
23.01.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
23.11.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
3
L
21.04.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
0
1
W
16.02.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
2
D
03.12.23
H2H
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
0
L
16.07.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
4
2
W
27.01.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
1
W
21.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
4
W
12.12.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
0
D
08.08.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
1
D
02.05.21
H2H
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
0
0
D
27.02.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
3
D
Last matches: Lillestrom
09.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lillestrom
16.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
23.01.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
23.11.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
3
L
16.02.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
2
D
16.07.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
4
2
W
27.01.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
1
W
21.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
0
W
12.12.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
0
D
27.02.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
3
D
Last matches: Sandefjord
01.08.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
23.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
2
1
W
H2H away: Sandefjord
16.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
L
23.01.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
W
23.11.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
3
W
16.02.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
2
D
16.07.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
4
2
L
27.01.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
0
L
12.12.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
2
0
L
02.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
0
0
D
27.02.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
3
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 16 13 1 2 39:15 24 40
W W D W W
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 16 8 1 7 22:20 2 25
L L L W W
5 16 7 3 6 29:24 5 24
L D W L D
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 16 6 4 6 19:21 -2 22
L D W D W
8 16 6 4 6 24:27 -3 22
D W L L L
9 16 6 3 7 23:21 2 21
W L W W W
10 16 6 2 8 23:29 -6 20
L L W W L
11 16 6 2 8 17:27 -10 20
W W L L L
12 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 16 4 3 9 15:26 -11 15
W L L D L
15 16 2 8 6 22:36 -14 14
D L D L D
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Lillestrom 6 missing
-
K. Krygard
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Waehler
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
E. Kitolano
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
T. Olsen
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
Y. Ibrahimaj
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Y. Paintsil
Questionable Injury
OUT
Sandefjord 5 missing
-
J. Swift
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Loftesnes-Bjune
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Dunsby
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
H. Krogelien
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Vester
Questionable Injury
OUT