Lillestrom vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lillestrom
18 matches
Sandefjord
18 matches
| Lillestrom | Statistic | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 38 | Goals For | 28 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 12.75 | Total Shots | 15.5 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 6.25 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Lillestrom's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sandefjord. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sandefjord in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Placed 3 with 16 points from 8 outings, Lillestrom continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (3 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 8 matches, Sandefjord have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 7:7 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Patoulidis (2 goals), J. Vester (1 goals), Nikolaj Möller (1 goals), with creative support from B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), Vetle Walle Egeli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 7 times, Sandefjord won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Lillestrom's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 50 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Lillestrom
Home
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sandefjord
Away
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|