NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: S. Kringstad
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Rosenborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
J. Svensson
Rosenborg
39'
N. Sahsah · Assist: A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🔄
46'
J. Svensson ↔ A. F. Witry
Rosenborg
🔄
61'
N. Sahsah ↔ J. Mortensen
Rosenborg
🔄
62'
T. Olsen ↔ F. Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🟨
62'
A. Chiakha
Rosenborg
🟨
69'
D. Duris
Rosenborg
🔄
71'
A. Pereira ↔ T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🟨
74'
T. Nemcik
Rosenborg
🔄
74'
K. Krygard ↔ H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
74'
L. Alperud ↔ G. Nordh
Lillestrom
🟨
84'
T. Dahl
Rosenborg
🔄
88'
E. K. Ceide ↔ J. Reitan-Sunde
Rosenborg
90'
A. Chiakha · Assist: M. Bomholt
Rosenborg
🟨
90+4'
H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🟨
90+6'
M. Bomholt
Rosenborg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 56.3%
Draw 20%
Rosenborg Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.66
Rosenborg1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
52 GF / 42 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
15
BTTS Yes
9
17
Over 2.5
13
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 28 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 23 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Rosenborg
12 Wins 10
4 Draws 4
12 Losses 9
52 Goals For 32
42 Goals Against 31
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
15 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.29
12.36 Total Shots 12.79
4.86 Corners 6.57
51.5% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Rosenborg in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosenborg having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Lillestrom have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rosenborg.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom sit 4 with 25 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 22:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Felix Vá (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Lars Ranger (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Rosenborg Analysis

So far, Rosenborg have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 18 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Amin Chiakha (6 goals), Simen Nordli (3 goals), Emil Konradsen Ceide (2 goals), with creative support from Ole Selnaes (5 assists), Emil Konradsen Ceide (3 assists), Mads Bomholt (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 5 times, Rosenborg won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Lillestrom's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-1-4-1 / Rosenborg 4-3-3
Missing players: Lillestrom 3, Rosenborg 3
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 5, draws 3, Rosenborg wins 5
Stats
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Rosenborg Rosenborg
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 6
16 Fouls 26
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 7
10 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 14
3 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
448 Total passes 365
343 Passes accurate 276
2.51 expected_goals 2.28
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lillestrom
Formation
Rosenborg
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær
Karl Linus Alperud
Karl Linus Alperud
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Kevin Martin Krygard
Kevin Martin Krygard
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Felix Vá
Felix Vá
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Tomáš Nemčík
Tomáš Nemčík
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
Ole Selnaes
Ole Selnaes
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah
Mads Bomholt
🎯
Mads Bomholt
Dávid Ďuriš
Dávid Ďuriš
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Amin Chiakha
🎯
Amin Chiakha
Lillestrom 4-5-1
Starting XI
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
2
Lars Ranger
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
47
Stian Kristiansen
D
11
Frederik Elkær
D
7
Karl Linus Alperud
↓ 74'
M
29
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
M
18
Kevin Martin Krygard
↓ 74'
M
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
M
20
Felix Vá
M
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
↑ 62'
F
15
Gustav Nordh
↑ 74'
F
6
Harald Woxen
↑ 74' 🟨 90+4'
M
1
Stephan Hagerup
G
26
Yaw Paintsil
M
3
Sturla Ottesen
D
22
John Kitolano
D
5
Sander Moen Foss
D
25
Seun Akanji
M
Rosenborg 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Leopold Wahlstedt
G
22
Jonas Svensson
↓ 46' 🟨 24'
D
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
D
21
Tomáš Nemčík
🟨 74'
D
19
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
↓ 71'
D
10
Ole Selnaes
M
11
Noah Sahsah
⚽ 39' ↓ 61'
M
17
Mads Bomholt
🎯 90' 🟨 90+6'
M
29
Dávid Ďuriš
🟨 69'
M
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
↓ 88'
M
18
Amin Chiakha
⚽ 90' 🎯 39' 🟨 62'
F
Substitutes
16
Aslak Witry
↑ 46'
D
15
Jonas Mortensen
↑ 61'
D
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
↑ 71' 🟨 84'
D
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
↑ 88'
F
12
Rasmus Sandberg
G
5
Håkon Volden
D
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
M
28
Elias Slordal
M
30
Maciej Soboczynski
F
Last matches: Lillestrom
20.08.26
UEF
Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0
0
D
15.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
31.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
Last matches: Rosenborg
14.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
W
02.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
2
3
L
27.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Manchester United
0
5
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Molde
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Aalesund
2
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Stjørdals-Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
H2H: Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
09.08.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
2
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
21.08.24
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
4
0
L
24.09.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
3
1
L
19.06.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
1
3
W
17.07.21
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
0
0
D
25.06.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
2
0
W
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D
14.09.19
H2H
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
3
1
L
11.05.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
21.10.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D
Last matches: Lillestrom
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lillestrom
09.08.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
15.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
24.09.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
0
W
19.06.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
1
W
25.06.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
2
0
W
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
21.10.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D
Last matches: Rosenborg
02.08.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Brann
2
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Start
3
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Viking
0
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Tromso
0
2
L
14.03.26
Eli
Rosenborg
Molde
0
2
L
19.02.26
Fri
Rosenborg
Ranheim
2
1
W
28.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05
1
4
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Hammarby FF
1
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Rosenborg
Banga
2
0
W
H2H away: Rosenborg
09.08.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
W
15.09.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
24.09.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
0
L
19.06.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
3
1
L
25.06.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
2
0
L
24.05.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
1
1
D
21.10.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
0
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6 17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Lillestrom 3 missing
-
E. B. Garnas
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
E. Kitolano
Questionable Broken Leg
OUT
-
C. Jebara
Questionable Injury
OUT
Rosenborg 3 missing
-
I. Fossum
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
A. Chiakha
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Islamovic
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT