NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Åråsen
Referee: S. Amland
Lillestrom
Match Timeline
Kristiansund BK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
A. Ronning · Assist: H. Bruseth
Kristiansund BK
🔄
17'
H. Bruseth ↔ N. Odegard
Kristiansund BK
🟨
40'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🟨
45+5'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🟨
45+2'
Lars Ranger
Lillestrom
🟥
45+5'
Harald Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
S. Foss ↔ E. B. Garnas
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
G. Nyheim ↔ Y. Ibrahimaj
Lillestrom
🔄
46'
C. Jebara ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
55'
S. Drammeh · Assist: Y. Paintsil
Lillestrom
56'
L. Alvheim · Assist: A. Munksgaard
Kristiansund BK
🔄
60'
J. Isaksen ↔ M. Isah
Kristiansund BK
🟨
62'
Wilfred George Igor
Kristiansund BK
VAR
68'
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Lillestrom
🟥
69'
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Lillestrom
🔄
71'
Felix Va ↔ S. Ottesen
Lillestrom
🟨
75'
Sander Hestetun Kilen
Kristiansund BK
🔄
79'
S. Kilen ↔ H. Magnusson
Kristiansund BK
🔄
79'
A. Ronning ↔ P. Meliga
Kristiansund BK
🟨
82'
Michael Lansing
Kristiansund BK
🟨
83'
Niklas Odegard
Kristiansund BK
🔄
88'
Y. Paintsil ↔ K. Arierhi
Lillestrom
🟨
90+4'
Mustapha Isah
Kristiansund BK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 38.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 46.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
38.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
46.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lillestrom Win 78.9%
Draw 0%
Kristiansund BK Win 21.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom1.72
Kristiansund BK1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WWDLW
41 GF / 26 GA
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
4
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lillestrom Lillestrom 19 matches
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 16 matches
Lillestrom Statistic Kristiansund BK
9 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
41 Goals For 15
26 Goals Against 17
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 4
10 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.88
12.89 Total Shots 11.38
4.78 Corners 4
51.1% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lillestrom's more proactive style and Kristiansund BK's more cautious structure. Kristiansund BK seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kristiansund BK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kristiansund BK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kristiansund BK having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Lillestrom arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 19 points compared to Kristiansund BK in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Karlsbakk (4 goals), T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Va (4 assists), T. Olsen (1 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without E. Kitolano, T. Olsen, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Kristiansund BK Analysis

Kristiansund BK are currently 12 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Meliga (3 goals), Leander Alvheim (2 goals), M. Isah (1 goals), with creative support from Heine Gikling Bruseth (1 assists), S. Kilen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Opsahl, D. Tufekcic, M. Williamsen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 3 times, Kristiansund BK won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from Lillestrom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Lillestrom 4-1-4-1 / Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Lillestrom 3, Kristiansund BK 4
H2H summary: Lillestrom wins 3, draws 4, Kristiansund BK wins 6
Stats
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 1
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
604 Total passes 294
497 Passes accurate 216
1.01 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lillestrom
Formation
Kristiansund BK
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
L. Ranger
S. Foss
S. Foss
R. Gabrielsen
R. Gabrielsen
Y. Paintsil
🎯
Y. Paintsil
H. Woxen
H. Woxen
C. Jebara
C. Jebara
M. Karlsbakk
M. Karlsbakk
G. Nyheim
G. Nyheim
S. Drammeh
S. Drammeh
Felix Va
Felix Va
M. Lansing
M. Lansing
A. Munksgaard
🎯
A. Munksgaard
J. Juliusson
J. Juliusson
D. Ulvestad
D. Ulvestad
F. Flex
F. Flex
W. Igor
W. Igor
J. Isaksen
J. Isaksen
A. Ronning
A. Ronning
H. Bruseth
🎯
H. Bruseth
S. Kilen
S. Kilen
L. Alvheim
L. Alvheim
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
P. Dahlberg
G
2
L. Ranger
🟨 45+2'
D
5
S. Foss
↓ 46'
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
26
Y. Paintsil
🎯 55' ↓ 88'
D
6
H. Woxen
🟨 40' 🟨 45+5' 🟥 45+5'
M
19
C. Jebara
↓ 46'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
M
14
G. Nyheim
↓ 46'
M
15
S. Drammeh
⚽ 55'
M
20
Felix Va
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Hagerup
G
4
E. B. Garnas
↑ 46' 🟥 69'
D
11
F. Elkaer
D
9
K. Arierhi
↑ 88'
F
27
M. Waehler
F
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
↑ 46'
F
18
K. Krygard
M
3
S. Ottesen
↑ 71'
D
7
L. Alperud
↑ 46'
M
Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Lansing
🟨 82'
G
13
A. Munksgaard
🎯 56'
D
4
J. Juliusson
D
5
D. Ulvestad
D
3
F. Flex
D
20
W. Igor
🟨 62'
M
6
J. Isaksen
↓ 60'
M
27
A. Ronning
⚽ 14' ↓ 79'
M
10
H. Bruseth
🎯 14' ↓ 17'
M
9
S. Kilen
↓ 79' 🟨 75'
M
19
L. Alvheim
⚽ 56'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Saether
G
23
T. Svendsen
M
77
H. Magnusson
↑ 79'
M
15
N. Skuseth
D
22
H. Haugen
D
18
P. Meliga
↑ 79'
F
8
N. Odegard
↑ 17' 🟨 83'
M
7
M. Isah
↑ 60' 🟨 90+4'
F
Last matches: Lillestrom
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
18.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
1
3
L
24.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Viking
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brattvåg
4
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Brann
3
2
W
08.03.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
15.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Egersund
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
0
D
H2H: Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK
20.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
09.07.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
L
01.04.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
3
L
28.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
03.07.22
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
1
3
W
06.11.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
30.05.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
1
0
L
05.04.21
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
0
0
D
09.06.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
05.07.19
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
5
2
L
24.11.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
02.04.18
H2H
Kristiansund BK
Lillestrom
2
1
L
Last matches: Lillestrom
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Kongsvinger
2
4
L
17.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Haugesund
7
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
07.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
7
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Stabaek
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lillestrom
20.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
09.07.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
01.04.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
3
L
28.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
09.06.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
24.11.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
Last matches: Kristiansund BK
12.07.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Rosenborg
0
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Brann
2
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
1
3
L
16.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Sandefjord
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Molde
0
0
D
30.01.26
Fri
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
0
1
L
H2H away: Kristiansund BK
20.05.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
W
09.07.25
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
L
01.04.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
3
W
28.08.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
09.06.20
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
24.11.18
H2H
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
2
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 0 2 33:13 20 33
W W L W W
2 14 10 2 2 34:11 23 32
W W W D W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 13 6 2 5 21:17 4 20
L D W L W
6 14 6 1 7 28:22 6 19
W W L L L
7 13 5 3 5 14:16 -2 18
D W W W L
8 13 5 3 5 20:25 -5 18
L L D D W
9 13 5 2 6 19:22 -3 17
W L W L W
10 13 4 3 6 15:18 -3 15
W W D L L
11 13 4 3 6 13:17 -4 15
L D L D L
12 13 4 2 7 15:23 -8 14
L L W D W
13 13 3 3 7 13:21 -8 12
L L D W L
14 13 2 6 5 18:28 -10 12
L D D D W
15 13 3 3 7 11:21 -10 12
D L L L W
16 14 1 4 9 14:33 -19 7
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Lillestrom 3 missing
-
E. Kitolano
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
T. Olsen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
U. Jenssen
Questionable Injury
OUT
Kristiansund BK 4 missing
-
H. Opsahl
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Tufekcic
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Williamsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
S. Skeide
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT