Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
76.1%
|
1.18 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
2.21 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.1%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
8.50 |
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lillestrom
32 matches
Fredrikstad
27 matches
| Lillestrom | Statistic | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 55 | Goals For | 36 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.89 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 11.24 |
| 5.32 | Corners | 4.12 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 47.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Lillestrom's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lillestrom expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Fredrikstad in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lillestrom have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fredrikstad. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Lillestrom sit 5 with 26 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 23:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Felix Vá (3 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Fredrikstad are currently 8 in the standings with 23 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 18:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), Daniel Eid (2 goals), Fredrik Holmé (2 goals), with creative support from Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Daniel Eid (1 assists), Fredrik Holmé (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrom won 2 times, Fredrikstad won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Lillestrom's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 50 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Lillestrom
Home
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
Away
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | -22 | 16 |
L
W
L
W
L
|