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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.10.2025 18:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Referee: Benoît Bastien, France
Lille
Match Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Lucas Hernández
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
59'
I. Mbaye ↔ A. Hakimi
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
59'
B. Barcola ↔ N. Mendes
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
59'
S. Mayulu ↔ Vitinha
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
66'
H. Haraldsson ↔ F. Correia
Lille
🔄
66'
N. Bentaleb ↔ O. Sahraoui
Lille
⚽
66'
N. Mendes
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
68'
L. Hernandez ↔ I. Zabarnyi
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
76'
T. Meunier ↔ T. Santos
Lille
🔄
76'
O. Giroud ↔ H. Igamane
Lille
🔄
81'
M. Fernandez-Pardo ↔ E. Mbappe
Lille
⚽
85'
E. Mbappe · Assist: H. Igamane
Lille
🟨
88'
Benjamin André
Lille

Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille1.51
Paris Saint Germain1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lille Lille
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WLDWL
20 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
4.75
Shots on Goal
6.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lille Lille 8 matches
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 matches
Lille Statistic Paris Saint Germain
5 Wins 7
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
16 Goals For 20
10 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
4.75 Shots On Goal 6.44
15.63 Total Shots 15.89
6.5 Corners 6.67
56.8% Ball Possession 69.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 2 times, Paris Saint Germain won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:38 from Lille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lille 4-3-3 / Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lille wins 2, draws 4, Paris Saint Germain wins 9

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille Home
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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