Lille vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.8%
|
- |
Lille
Nice
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
43 matches
Nice
43 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 24 |
| 65 | Goals For | 47 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 79 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.84 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.74 |
| 13.49 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lille's more proactive style and Nice's more cautious structure. Nice seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nice in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nice having the stronger overall control. Lille come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nice. Lille arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 53 points compared to Nice in 15 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lille come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 53 points after 29 matches. With 16 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:34, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Haraldsson (7 goals), M. Fernandez-Pardo (7 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with H. Igamane, O. Toure, M. Caillard, N. Ngoy unavailable.
Nice approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 28 points from 29 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 34:56, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Sofiane Diop (7 goals), E. Wahi (4 goals), M. Cho (4 goals), with creative support from J. Clauss (6 assists), M. Cho (3 assists), Sofiane Diop (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Bombito, Y. Ndayishimiye, E. Pereira, H. Boudaoui, M. Sanson unavailable.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 4 times, Nice won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Lille's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Nice
Away
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|