Lille vs Le Havre Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lille
Le Havre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
45 matches
Le Havre
32 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 66 | Goals For | 29 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.69 |
| 13.31 | Total Shots | 11.66 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lille's more proactive style and Le Havre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Le Havre. Lille come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Le Havre in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Havre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Lille arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 57 points compared to Le Havre in 14 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Lille approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 57 points after 31 outings. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 50:34, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 goals), H. Haraldsson (7 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 31 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Le Havre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats with a 29:42 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Soumare (6 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), F. Doucoure (3 goals), with creative support from I. Soumare (5 assists), R. Ndiaye (4 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 5 times, Le Havre won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from Lille's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Le Havre
Away
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|