Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lille
Le Havre
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lille
45 matches
Le Havre
32 matches
| Lille | Statistic | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 13 |
| 16 | Losses | 13 |
| 65 | Goals For | 29 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.69 |
| 13.31 | Total Shots | 11.66 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lille's more proactive style and Le Havre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Le Havre. Lille come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lille expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Le Havre in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Havre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Lille arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 57 points compared to Le Havre in 14 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Lille approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 57 points after 31 outings. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 50:34, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 goals), H. Haraldsson (7 goals), O. Giroud (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 assists), F. Correia (5 assists), R. Perraud (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 31 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Le Havre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats with a 29:42 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Soumare (6 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), F. Doucoure (3 goals), with creative support from I. Soumare (5 assists), R. Ndiaye (4 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Lille won 5 times, Le Havre won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from Lille's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Lille
10
2
6
1
6
0
Lineups
Lille
Hamburger SV
Lille
OH Leuven
Lille
Union St. Gilloise
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
Lille
Auxerre
Lille
Monaco
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Nice
Lille
Toulouse
Lille
Lens
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Rennes
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Lorient
Lille
Nantes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Angers
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Oviedo
Le Havre
Ipswich
Le Havre
Laval
Le Havre
RED Star FC 93
Le Havre
Amiens
Le Havre
Lorient
Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Monaco
Lille
RAAL La Louvière
Lille
Auxerre
Lille
Nice
Lille
Lens
Lille
Aston Villa
Lille
Lorient
Lille
Nantes
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
SC Freiburg
Lille
Strasbourg
Lille
Lyon
Lille
Rennes
Lille
Marseille
Lille
Dinamo Zagreb
Lille
Paris FC
Lille
Angers
Lille
Metz
Lille
PAOK
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Oviedo
Le Havre
Ipswich
Le Havre
Lorient
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Paris FC
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Nantes
Le Havre
Lens
Le Havre
Rennes
Le Havre
Lyon
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
Toulouse
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Marseille
Le Havre
Metz
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Monaco
Le Havre
Strasbourg
Le Havre
Auxerre
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Lille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Le Havre
Away
|
34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|