Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
13 matches
Deportivo Cuenca
15 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 12 | Goals For | 19 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 10.69 | Total Shots | 11.46 |
| 3.77 | Corners | 3.92 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Deportivo Cuenca in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cuenca having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Cuenca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 20 points while Libertad sit 14 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Libertad have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Cuenca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 14 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Chere (3 goals), G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Cuenca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 20 points after 13 matches. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Ordonez (4 goals), Matias Klimowicz (4 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), David González (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 3 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Libertad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Libertad
1
4
4
6
2
5
Lineups
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 3 | 29 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Away
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Libertad
Home
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19:24 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | -7 | 23 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8:26 | -18 | 14 |
D
L
L
D
L
|