Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
67.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Delfin SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
20 matches
Delfin SC
21 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 18 | Goals For | 14 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 10.15 | Total Shots | 10.8 |
| 3.6 | Corners | 3.35 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 38.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Delfin SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Libertad expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Delfin SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Delfin SC having the stronger overall control.
With 18 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Libertad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 11:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), F. Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from F. Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 2 times, Delfin SC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Libertad's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.
Libertad
7
3
8
10
2
1
Lineups
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Aucas
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Macara
Delfin SC
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Aucas
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
Manta FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Aucas
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
Delfin SC
Macara
Delfin SC
Emelec
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Home
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Delfin SC
Away
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|