Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Libertad
Aucas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad
11 matches
Aucas
13 matches
| Libertad | Statistic | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 13 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.69 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.27 | Shots On Goal | 4.82 |
| 10.36 | Total Shots | 14.45 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Aucas's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aucas. Aucas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Aucas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 19 points while Libertad sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Libertad sit 15 with 10 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 12:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on B. Miranda (6 goals), R. Quinonez (2 goals), A. Mena (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Morales (2 assists), A. Mena (1 assists), Piero Guzmán (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Libertad won 4 times, Aucas won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Libertad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Libertad
6
9
6
7
4
3
Lineups
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Aucas
Away
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Libertad
Home
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|