Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
Independiente del Valle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Away / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 37.3%
Draw 4.4%
Independiente del Valle Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.18
Independiente del Valle1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
26 GF / 26 GA
Independiente del Valle
WLDWL
23 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
4.2
Shots on Goal
5.77
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Libertad Asuncion
20 matches
Independiente del Valle
14 matches
| Libertad Asuncion | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 3 |
| 26 | Goals For | 23 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 5.77 |
| 12.65 | Total Shots | 19.31 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 6.62 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 60.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 0 times, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-2-3-1 / Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 0, draws 0, Independiente del Valle wins 2
Stats
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Libertad Asuncion
Formation
Independiente del Valle
R. M. Morinigo Acosta
R. Rojas
D. Viera
N. Gimenez
M. D. Espinoza Acosta
L. Sanabria
A. Campuzano
I. Franco
F. Carrizo
A. Fretes
L. Melgarejo
A. Quintana
D. A. Romero Padilla
M. Carabajal
A. Velasco
L. Loor
J. Alcivar
M. Perello
J. Lerma
R. Briones
A. Rodriguez
C. Gonzalez
Libertad Asuncion
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. M. Morinigo Acosta
G
3
R. Rojas
D
↓ 72'
5
D. Viera
D
4
N. Gimenez
D
17
M. D. Espinoza Acosta
D
21
L. Sanabria
M
↓ 64'
6
A. Campuzano
M
🟨 54'
18
I. Franco
M
↓ 46'
8
F. Carrizo
M
🎯 37'
↓ 64'
🟨 58'
14
A. Fretes
M
↓ 72'
10
L. Melgarejo
F
⚽ 37'
⚽ 85'
Substitutes
25
A. Gonzalez
G
19
J. Recalde
M
2
I. Ramirez
D
↑ 72'
22
H. Martinez
M
27
A. Molinas
M
↑ 64'
7
M. Rojas
M
↑ 72'
26
H. Caballero
M
11
G. Aguilar
F
↑ 64'
🟨 87'
28
M. Fernandez
F
↑ 46'
24
R. Villalba
D
31
T. Fernandez
34
E. Villalba
D
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Quintana
G
13
D. A. Romero Padilla
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
33
A. Velasco
D
19
L. Loor
D
🎯 33'
🟨 90+1'
6
J. Alcivar
M
🎯 65'
↓ 77'
11
M. Perello
M
↓ 70'
53
J. Lerma
↓ 77'
16
R. Briones
M
🟨 90'
17
A. Rodriguez
M
🎯 51'
↓ 70'
9
C. Gonzalez
F
⚽ 33'
⚽ 51'
⚽ 65'
↓ 81'
Substitutes
12
E. Bores
G
15
G. Cortez
D
99
D. Reasco
F
4
J. Espinoza
D
8
Y. Ochoa
M
↑ 77'
20
A. Gomez
M
32
J. Mendez
M
↑ 77'
2
L. Zarate
D
31
E. Pata
F
↑ 70'
18
S. Gongora
F
55
D. Guagua
↑ 70'
50
J. Angulo
F
↑ 81'
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
10.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
02.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
2
L
30.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
4
1
W
26.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
1
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
24.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
20.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
14.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
05.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
21.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
1
3
L
05.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
0
1
L
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
27.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
0
2
L
21.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
08.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
H2H: Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle
20.05.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
L
28.04.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
Last matches: Libertad Asuncion
10.08.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
30.07.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
4
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
0
1
L
14.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
01.05.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
5
0
W
25.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
3
2
W
15.04.26
CON
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
0
1
L
12.04.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
30.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
1
L
08.02.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
3
3
D
28.01.26
Div
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
H2H at home: Libertad Asuncion
28.04.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
08.08.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
3
2
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
3
2
W
09.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
20.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
0
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
2
0
W
H2H away: Independiente del Valle
28.04.26
H2H
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
2
3
W
Standings
Group H
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Libertad Asuncion
Home
|
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals